Match Info

J1 League - Round 20

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Kashima Soccer Stadium (Kashima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto


	Kashima Antlers		Sanfrecce Hiroshima

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.35	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	3.11	3.21	2.22	Watch
	3.15	3.45	2.38
	3.34	3.41	2.12	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.25
	3.15	3.42	2.29	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.46)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)	2.26 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashima Antlers
29.9%

Draw
28.6%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

28.5%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

29.1%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	14.3%	21.4%

Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 3 - 60%). Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Kashima (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Hiroshima (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Hiroshima (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 25. Koike R. 55. Ueda N. 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 28. Mizoguchi S. 77. Cavric A. 6. Misao K. 20. Funabashi Y. 27. Matsumura Y. 9. Leo Ceara 40. Suzuki Y.	1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. 24. Higashi S. 41. Maeda N. 39. Nakamura S. 17. Kinoshita K. 9. Germain R.
Substitutes
4. Chida K. 13. Chinen K. 14. Higuchi Y. 29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 22. Nono K. 7. Ogawa R. 10. Shibasaki G. 17. Talles Brener 23. Tsukui K.	13. Arai N. 98. Germain V. 20. Inoue S. 26. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 32. Koshimichi S. 5. Matsumoto H. 40. Ohara M. 18. Suga D. 3. Yamasaki T.
Coaches
Oniki T.	Skibbe M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Higashi S. ⚽, Nakamura S. (A),
45+3', Germain R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Misao K. 🟨,
59', Kinoshita K. 🟨,
68', Funabashi Y. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
68', Matsumura Y. ↓, Nono K. ↑,
70', Maeda N. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
73', Nakamura S. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
80', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Ogawa R. ↑,
80', Misao K. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
80', Koike R. ↓, Talles Brener ↑,
83', Leo Ceara 🟨,
87', Germain R. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Leo Ceara ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 1.

Kashima is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hiroshima has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hiroshima could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Kashima: Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)

There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Nakajima Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashima Antlers
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Kashima Antlers - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
31.05.25	Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	Kashima Antlers - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWW
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Brew Saga	3:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
08.06.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
31.05.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale	1:2 ✺
25.05.25	Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
02.04.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers	1:0
14.09.24	Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:2
15.05.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers	1:3
08.07.23	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers	1:1
01.04.23	Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2
06.08.22	Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2
07.05.22	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers	3:0

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