Match Info
1. Liga - Round 18Date: 29 August 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Latvia | Futbols TV |
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Mārupe |
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JDFS Alberts |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.33 |
3.90 |
1.58 |
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 |
4.30 |
3.85 |
1.55 |
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 |
4.37 |
3.95 |
1.58 |
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4.35 |
4.08 |
1.62 |
 Watch |
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4.50 |
4.00 |
1.53 |
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4.04 |
4.25 |
1.67 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.32 ↑
(4.12) |
4.01 ↓
(4.2) |
1.59 ↓
(1.64) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mārupe
20.9% | Draw
22.5% | JDFS Alberts
56.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)JDFS Alberts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JDFS Alberts than the current prediction. (+1.5%)Mārupe - JDFS Alberts Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 23', 0 - 1, Pirktins K. ⚽,
- 36', 0 - 2, Omale P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Penka R. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 5)Mārupe is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).JDFS Alberts's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Mārupe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, JDFS Alberts is considered a favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mārupe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Mārupe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Alberts JDFS | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 42:31 | 11 | 37 |
| 6 | Marupe | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Latvian 1 Liga | | | 25.04.26 | JDFS Alberts - Mārupe | 2:1 | | 14.09.25 | Mārupe - JDFS Alberts | 2:1 | | 02.05.25 | JDFS Alberts - Mārupe | 1:0 | | 09.08.24 | JDFS Alberts - Mārupe | 1:0 | | 14.04.24 | Mārupe - JDFS Alberts | 0:1 |
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