Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Fukuda Denshi Arena (Chiba)

Referee: Nagamine K. (Jpn)


	JEF United Chiba		Ryūkyū

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	3.8	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.4
	2.1	2.95	3.8
	2.18	2.8	3.6
	2.39	2.85	3.78
	2.1	2.8	3.6
	2.22	3	3.7	Watch
	2.2	2.85	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.84)	2.86 ↓ (3.07)	3.67 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JEF United Chiba
42.2%

Draw
32.5%

Ryūkyū
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

29.6%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

28.5%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that JEF United Chiba's form might have worsened.

Ryūkyū has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JEF United Chiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	28.6%	21.4%

JEF United Chiba - Ryūkyū Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. JEF United will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Ryūkyū will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for JEF United: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches JEF United won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ryūkyū could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently JEF United have a series of guest games.

JEF United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches JEF United won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams JEF United won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JEF United Chiba
Japan J2 League
08.10.22	Blaublitz Akita - JEF United Chiba	3:0 ✺
02.10.22	Mito HollyHock - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
25.09.22	JEF United Chiba - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Montedio Yamagata - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
14.09.22	Grulla Morioka - JEF United Chiba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLW
- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J2 League
09.10.22	Zweigen Kanazawa - Ryūkyū	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	Ryūkyū - Yokohama FC	0:1 ✺
25.09.22	Tochigi - Ryūkyū	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Ryūkyū - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1 ✺
14.09.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ryūkyū	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
26.02.22	Ryūkyū - JEF United Chiba	1:2
13.11.21	Ryūkyū - JEF United Chiba	2:2
27.03.21	JEF United Chiba - Ryūkyū	1:2
27.09.20	Ryūkyū - JEF United Chiba	0:1
23.02.20	JEF United Chiba - Ryūkyū	1:0
31.07.19	Ryūkyū - JEF United Chiba	0:2
03.04.19	JEF United Chiba - Ryūkyū	1:0

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