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Current Win Probability
JEF United Chiba 30.5%
Draw 28.7%
Avispa Fukuoka 40.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.3%
28.8%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
29.3%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
JEF United Chiba - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 19th in the Relegation - J2 League and 17th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 1.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Avispa Fukuoka could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, JEF United has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:20 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for JEF United against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:9 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Avispa Fukuoka
9
2
1
6
11:13
-2
7
19
Chiba
10
1
3
6
8:19
-11
6
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Avispa Fukuoka: 0.34% Chiba: 0.28%
Last Results with these Odds
JEF United Chiba - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.34%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Avispa Fukuoka - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.86%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.