Match Info

J1 League - Placement Play Offs - 19th place

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Fukuda Denshi Arena (Chiba)


	JEF United Chiba		Avispa Fukuoka

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.00	2.60
	2.92	2.98	2.48	Watch
	3.08	3.01	2.68
	2.91	3.01	2.65	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.5
	2.91	3.02	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (2.91)	2.99 ↑ (2.93)	2.55 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JEF United Chiba
32.3%

Draw
31.2%

Avispa Fukuoka
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

31.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

31.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Avispa Fukuoka aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	60%	30%

JEF United Chiba - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. JEF United will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Suarez J. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 24. Toriumi K. 28. Kawano T. 67. Hidaka M. 7. Tanaka K. 15. Mae T. 4. Taguchi T. (C) 14. Tsubaki N. 20. Ishikawa D. 9. Goya H.	41. Fujita K. (G) 16. Oka T. 5. Kamijima T. (C) 15. Tsujioka Y. 47. Hashimoto Y. 34. Shiihashi K. 11. Miki T. 29. Maejima Y. 6. Shigemi M. 22. Fujimoto K. 7. Usui S.
Substitutes
6. Eduardo 42. Issaka Z. 5. Kobayashi Y. 3. Kuboniwa R. 30. Matsumura T. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 8. Tsukui T. 41. Yasui T. 11. Yonekura K.	17. Akino H. 25. Kitajima Y. 27. Michiwaki Y. 45. Miya D. 99. Obi P. O. (G) 8. Okuno K. 18. Sato S. 37. Tashiro M. 33. Yamawaki K.
Coaches
Kobayashi Y.	Tsukahara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Goya H. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Fujimoto K. ↓, Kitajima Y. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Hashimoto Y. ⚽, Miki T. (A),
60', Tsubaki N. ↓, Tsukui T. ↑,
60', Tanaka K. ↓, Issaka Z. ↑,
60', Taguchi T. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
66', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Yamawaki K. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Maejima Y. ⚽,
69', Kawano T. ↓, Kuboniwa R. ↑,
73', Goya H. ↓, Matsumura T. ↑,
74', Usui S. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
74', Shigemi M. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
85', Shiihashi K. ↓, Sato S. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 2-2.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in JEF United: Ueda Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Fukushima K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in JEF United: Taguchi T. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, JEF United won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Avispa Fukuoka: 0.71% Chiba: 0.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Avispa Fukuoka	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3
20	Chiba	4	0	0	4	2:13	-11	0

Last Results with these Odds

Avispa Fukuoka - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.88%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JEF United Chiba
Japan J1 League
30.05.26	Avispa Fukuoka - JEF United Chiba	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Kashiwa Reysol - JEF United Chiba	4:2 ✺
17.05.26	JEF United Chiba - Kashima Antlers	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	JEF United Chiba - Machida Zelvia	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Tokyo - JEF United Chiba	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLLLW
- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
30.05.26	Avispa Fukuoka - JEF United Chiba	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 penalties ✺
06.05.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga	2:1 penalties ✺
03.05.26	Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
30.05.26	Avispa Fukuoka - JEF United Chiba	2:2
Japan J2 League
25.10.20	Avispa Fukuoka - JEF United Chiba	1:0
02.09.20	JEF United Chiba - Avispa Fukuoka	2:2
20.07.19	JEF United Chiba - Avispa Fukuoka	3:0
30.03.19	Avispa Fukuoka - JEF United Chiba	0:1
16.09.18	JEF United Chiba - Avispa Fukuoka	3:3
22.04.18	Avispa Fukuoka - JEF United Chiba	3:1

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