Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	JKS Jarosław		Korona Kielce 2

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.20	3.90
	1.55	4.05	4.30
	1.55	4.17	4.39
	1.73	4.08	3.72
	1.49	4.35	4.35
	1.55	4.66	4.49	Watch
	1.88	3.41	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.88)	4.13 ↑ (3.41)	4.06 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

JKS Jarosław
55.8%

Draw
21.9%

Korona Kielce 2
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

24.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JKS Jarosław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in JKS Jarosław's performance.

Korona Kielce 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JKS Jarosław than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JKS Jarosław that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

JKS Jarosław - Korona Kielce 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Czernysz J. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Wyrozumski D. ⚽,
25', 2 - 1, Phkhakadze J. ⚽,
25', 3 - 1, Magdziak S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', 4 - 1, Janiczak G. ⚽,
72', 5 - 1, Gospodarczyk F. ⚽,
84', 6 - 1, Ptasznik K. ⚽,
89', 6 - 2, Mianowany M. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by JKS Jarosław have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Korona 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

JKS Jarosław may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Korona 2 has had a series of home games.

JKS Jarosław will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Jaroslaw	11	5	2	4	27:20	7	17
14	Korona Kielce II	11	3	2	6	23:27	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JKS 1909 Jarosław
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
29.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Star Starachowice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - JKS Jarosław	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Wieczysta II	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Wisłoka Dębica - JKS Jarosław	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLL
- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Radomiak Radom	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
29.08.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Busko-Zdrój	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Czarni Połaniec	3:4 ✺
19.08.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Hetman Zamość	2:2 ✺
14.08.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Korona Kielce 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLTL

Upcoming Matches