Match Info

Kakkonen Group C

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Heinäpää (Oulu)


	JS Hercules		OsPa

	1	X	2
	6.75	5.75	1.27
	7.5	6.7	1.25
	7.5	7.24	1.24
	9.54	6.07	1.22	Watch
	8.15	6.5	1.24
	5.68	5.5	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.52 ↑ (5.68)	6.29 ↑ (5.5)	1.26 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JS Hercules
12.3%

Draw
14.6%

OsPa
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

16.5%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

16%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JS Hercules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

OsPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OsPa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JS Hercules than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OsPa than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

JS Hercules - OsPa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Niinivaara J. (G) 11. Ainasoja A. 8. Huitsi E. 24. Jibrin A. 6. Karppelin A. 22. Keskitalo E. 19. Korkala V. (C) 13. Kotilainen E. 98. Matikainen L. 20. Rajalahti A. 29. Riihiaho A.	1. Jarvinen E. (G) 2. Ajoung M. 5. Edeh C. 14. Evo K. 13. Karsama J. 20. Lamsa O. 28. Munoz A. 15. Nwachukwu S. 11. Piirto L. (C) 4. Ridanpaa T. 19. Tiainen L.
Substitutes
5. Haapalainen N. 30. Jauhiainen A. 28. Korkala A. 15. Meglinski N. 91. Oksanen N. 23. Pahti A. 10. Sarajarvi K. 72. Slewa G. (G) 4. Taumberger H.	23. Lindroth E. 22. Oklenyi I. (G) 32. Saily D. 25. Tervaoja S. 9. Yllasjarvi P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
44', 1 - 0, Huitsi E. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Evo K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Huitsi E. ↓, Sarajarvi K. ↑,
50', Rajalahti A. 🟨,
50', Munoz A. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Korkala V. ⚽,
64', Munoz A. ↓, Yllasjarvi P. ↑,
64', Karsama J. ↓, Saily D. ↑,
64', 2 - 2, Saily D. ⚽,
73', Nwachukwu S. ↓, Lindroth E. ↑,
73', Rajalahti A. ↓, Pahti A. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Saily D. ⚽,
85', Ainasoja A. ↓, Oksanen N. ↑,
85', Karppelin A. ↓, Jauhiainen A. ↑,
88', Korkala V. 🟨,
90+4', Ajoung M. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: )).

JS Hercules is Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage )

OsPa is Qualified for Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage )

JS Hercules is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, OsPa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

OsPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, OsPa is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, JS Hercules won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JS Hercules
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
08.08.25	GBK Kokkola - JS Hercules	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	JS Hercules - JBK	0:3 ✺
24.07.25	TP-47 - JS Hercules	1:5 ✺
19.07.25	JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia 2	0:6 ✺
13.07.25	VPS 2 - JS Hercules	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LLWLL
- Oulunsalon Pallo
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
09.08.25	OsPa - VIFK	10:2 ✺
03.08.25	OsPa - SJK Akatemia 2	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Närpes - OsPa	2:3 ✺
20.07.25	VPS 2 - OsPa	2:1 ✺
01.07.25	OsPa - JBK	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
13.06.25	OsPa - JS Hercules	5:1

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