Match Info

Kakkonen Group C - Winners stage

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Oulu-lehti Areena (Oulu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	OsPa		SJK Akatemia 2

	1	X	2
	1.63	5.49	3.51
	1.71	4.16	3.82	Watch
	1.69	4.95	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.72)	4.87 ↓ (4.9)	3.66 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OsPa
55.5%

Draw
19.1%

SJK Akatemia 2
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

18.6%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

16.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OsPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

SJK Akatemia 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OsPa than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with OsPa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK Akatemia 2 than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SJK Akatemia 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

OsPa - SJK Akatemia 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Fyrsten M. (G) 35. Aapajarvi A. 5. Edeh C. (C) 14. Evo K. 6. Flygare K. 13. Karsama J. 20. Lamsa O. 3. Saarela E. 10. Teppo L. 25. Tervaoja S. 9. Yliheikkila P.	60. Kivela A. (C) 49. Aaltonen A. 14. Alomari A. 11. Chinedu U. 46. Matinlauri J. 42. Mbumba D. 41. Moilanen I. 27. Nikkila J. 23. Okpolokpo A. 38. Piiroinen A. 3. Yakubu S.
Substitutes
23. Lindroth E. 28. Munoz A. 22. Oklenyi I. (G) 32. Saily D. 26. Soininen J.	35. Asumus A. 32. Heinamaki A. (G) 36. Kangasniemi I. 47. Lampinen A. 33. Pozo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Karsama J. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Evo K. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Edeh C. 🟨,
47', 2 - 1, Chinedu U. ⚽,
58', Karsama J. ↓, Saily D. ↑,
63', Moilanen I. ↓, Kangasniemi I. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Nikkila J. ⚽,
68', Alomari A. 🟨,
73', Tervaoja S. ↓, Lindroth E. ↑,
73', Yakubu S. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Saarela E. ⚽,
77', Okpolokpo A. ↓, Asumus A. ↑,
77', Mbumba D. ↓, Lampinen A. ↑,
90', Flygare K. ↓, Soininen J. ↑,
90', Lamsa O. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 2, Evo K. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Recently, OsPa has had a series of away games.

OsPa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, OsPa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, OsPa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oulunsalon Pallo
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
14.09.25	VPS 2 - OsPa	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	GBK Kokkola - OsPa	5:1 ✺
03.09.25	OsPa - TP-47	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	JBK - OsPa	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	JS Hercules - OsPa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLW
- SJK Akatemia 2
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
15.09.25	SJK Akatemia 2 - JBK	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	TP-47 - SJK Akatemia 2	2:6 ✺
03.09.25	SJK Akatemia 2 - VPS 2	3:7 ✺
29.08.25	GBK Kokkola - SJK Akatemia 2	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	JBK - SJK Akatemia 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
03.08.25	OsPa - SJK Akatemia 2	1:2
01.06.25	SJK Akatemia 2 - OsPa	1:3

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