The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JS Hercules 38.3%
Draw 23.3%
Vaajakoski 38.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.2%
21.5%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
21.3%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JS Hercules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that JS Hercules's form might have worsened.
Vaajakoski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vaajakoski's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JS Hercules than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JS Hercules, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
JS Hercules - Vaajakoski Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
72. Taavettila E. (G) 5. Haapalainen N. 22. Hanhineva J. 24. Jibrin A. (C) 14. Kainu J. 6. Karppelin A. 20. Karsama J. 13. Kotilainen E. 10. Sarajarvi K. 8. Serdarevic A. 98. Siika-Aho L.
13. Toivari S. (G) 15. Hamalainen A. 10. Jarvinen V. 20. Laakso L. 31. Makinen T. 16. Maunuksela V. 3. Sarkkinen J. (C) 8. Seilonen L. 30. Stadig T. 6. Tuppurainen A. 25. Viren V.
Substitutes
3. Henttunen V. 23. Pahti A. 29. Riihiaho A. 12. Siiviko A. (G) 28. Tervaoja S. 4. Vaihoja S.
2. Collin M. 99. Kananen J. (G) 22. Kareem M. 4. Matilainen A. 18. Muradi B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', Makinen T. ↓, Muradi B. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
70', Serdarevic A. ↓, Pahti A. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Pahti A. ⚽,
76', Seilonen L. ↓, Kareem M. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Kareem M. ⚽,
82', Jibrin A. 🟨,
85', Laakso L. ↓, Collin M. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Muradi B. ⚽,
88', Viren V. 🟨,
90+1', Maunuksela V. 🟨,
90+1', Sarajarvi K. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JS Hercules won 1.
In recent outings, JS Hercules has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Vaajakoski has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
JS Hercules could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, JS Hercules has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:15 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for JS Hercules against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 4:8 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).