Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday


	Jabaquara U20		Santos U20

	1	X	2
	12.50	6.25	1.17
	9.8	5.15	1.2	Watch
	9.14	5.58	1.19
	10.5	5.5	1.22	Watch
	8.95	5.45	1.16
	12.9	5.45	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.63 ↑ (7)	5.56 ↑ (4.6)	1.19 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jabaquara U20
8.4%

Draw
16.1%

Santos U20
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

19.4%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

18.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jabaquara U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Santos U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jabaquara U20 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos U20 than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jabaquara U20 - Santos U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, ⚽,
62', 1 - 3, ⚽,
71', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals)).

Recent results have been tough for Jabaquara U20 (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Santos U20 is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Santos U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Santos U20 holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Jabaquara U20 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:7 (averaging 0:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jabaquara U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jabaquara U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.09.26	CA Juventus U20 - Jabaquara U20	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Jabaquara U20 - União Suzano U20	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Ferroviaria U20 - Jabaquara U20	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Jabaquara U20 - Corinthians U20	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Ponte Preta U20 - Jabaquara U20	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLLW
- Santos U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.09.26	Santos U20 - Mirassol U20	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil U20
10.09.26	Santos U20 - Cuiabá U20	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
04.09.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Santos U20	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Santos U20 - America SP U20	7:0 ✺
14.08.26	Itapirense U20 - Santos U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
12.06.26	Santos U20 - Jabaquara U20	1:0
18.05.24	Santos U20 - Jabaquara U20	4:0
13.04.24	Jabaquara U20 - Santos U20	0:2

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