Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Gradski stadion Varazdin (Varaždin)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Slovakia	Voyo
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Varaždin		Jablonec

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.50	2.50	Watch
	2.60	3.20	2.50
	2.70	3.35	2.40	Watch
	2.72	3.35	2.63
	2.65	3.39	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.10	2.60
	2.38	3.68	2.77	Watch
	2.60	3.35	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.46)	3.37 ↓ (3.48)	2.56 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Varaždin
36%

Draw
27.6%

Jablonec
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

26.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Jablonec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	31.2%	43.7%

Varaždin - Jablonec Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Jablonec will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jablonec: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varaždin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Silic J. (G) 23. Maglica F. 14. Puncec R. (C) 4. Skaricic L. 3. Durakovic E. 28. Canjuga I. 8. Duvnjak T. 10. Latkovic A. 22. Mamic L. 38. Tavares I. 17. Mamut I.	1. Hanus J. (G) 18. Cedidla M. 4. Tekijaski N. (C) 57. Novak F. 7. Chanturishvili V. 6. Okeke N. 13. Sedlacek R. 23. Sobol E. 16. Ahl H. 44. Jawo L. 8. Zorvan F.
Substitutes
9. Juric S. 5. Lesjak S. 24. Marina M. 13. Mladenovski M. 21. Posavec I. 30. Posinkovic L. 6. Puclin D. 16. Tepsic N. 7. Vuk M. 1. Zelenika O. (G)	19. Chramosta J. 42. Malensek M. 99. Mihelak K. (G) 25. Nebyla S. 15. Pavlovic D. 21. Polidar M. 9. Rusek A. 20. Slama J. 14. Soucek D. 27. Vecheta F.
Coaches
Safaric N.	Kozel L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Latkovic A. 🟨,
15', Skaricic L. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Tavares I. ⚽, Canjuga I. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Cedidla M. ⚽, Zorvan F. (A),
37', Durakovic E. ↓, Tepsic N. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ahl H. ↓, Rusek A. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Tekijaski N. ⚽, Novak F. (A),
61', Latkovic A. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
61', Skaricic L. ↓, Lesjak S. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Mamut I. ⚽, Canjuga I. (A),
73', Jawo L. ↓, Chramosta J. ↑,
73', Zorvan F. ↓, Nebyla S. ↑,
79', Chanturishvili V. 🟨,
82', 3 - 2, Mamic L. ⚽, Maglica F. (A),
83', Sobol E. ↓, Slama J. ↑,
86', Duvnjak T. ↓, Marina M. ↑,
86', Tavares I. ↓, Posavec I. ↑,
90', Chanturishvili V. ↓, Soucek D. ↑,
90+1', Silic J. 🟨,
90+3', Mamut I. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Varaždin is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jablonec's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jablonec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jablonec has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Jablonec: 0.3%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Varaždin
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Varaždin - Beltinci	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Varaždin - Kustošija	3:1 ✺
12.07.26	Bihor Oradea - Varaždin	1:3 ✺
10.07.26	Radomlje - Varaždin	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Varaždin - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- FK Jablonec
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Jablonec - Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Jablonec - Osnabrück	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Liefering - Jablonec	3:1 ✺
08.07.26	Jablonec - Paphos	0:0 ✺
03.07.26	Jablonec - Ústí nad Labem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLTT

Upcoming Matches