Match Info

BRAZIL: Baiano - Round 8

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Municipal Stadium Jose Rocha (Bahia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	TVE Bahia


	Jacobina		Atlético de Alagoinhas

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.1
	3.66	2.98	2.1
	3.57	3.07	2.08	Watch
	3.4	2.9	2.1
	3.62	3	2.18
	3.4	2.9	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.94)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)	2.11 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacobina
26%

Draw
30.8%

Atlético de Alagoinhas
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

29.2%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

29.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacobina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Atlético de Alagoinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacobina than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Jacobina - Atlético de Alagoinhas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Jacobina will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Erick (G) 18. Aleff 2. Anderson Bandeira 5. Bruno Henrique (C) 8. Guilherme Ivo 3. Hugo 10. Ivamar Junior 9. Ruan Costa 4. Victor Ramon 11. Vitinho 6. Zeca	1. Giovani (G) 13. Davisson 10. Esquerdinha (C) 11. Felipe Cardoso 7. Kaua 8. Lucas Lucena 4. Lucas Sales 5. Menezes 9. Michael 6. Santos A. 3. Souza M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Menezes 🟨,
11', Davisson 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Kaua ⚽,
45+1', Guilherme Ivo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Menezes ↓, Wanderson Papaterra ↑,
46', Davisson ↓, Jefferson ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Michael ⚽,
64', Victor Ramon ↓, Caio ↑,
64', Ruan Costa ↓, Puca ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Lucas Lucena ⚽,
79', Felipe Cardoso ↓, Luciano ↑,
79', Ivamar Junior ↓, Henry Venancio ↑,
81', Felipe Cardoso ↓, Luciano ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Baiano 2 and 5).

Jacobina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Atlético Alagoinhas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Alagoinhas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atlético Alagoinhas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jacobina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Jacobina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacobina EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
08.02.25	Jequié - Jacobina	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Jacobina - Juazeirense	0:2 ✺
29.01.25	Vitória Salvador - Jacobina	4:0 ✺
22.01.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jacobina	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Jacobina - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLLTT
- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
09.02.25	Juazeirense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:1 ✺
05.02.25	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
28.01.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Jequié	0:0 ✺
21.01.25	Porto SC - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
03.02.24	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Jacobina	0:1
02.02.20	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Jacobina	2:0
10.03.19	Jacobina - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:2

Jacobina - Atlético de Alagoinhas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide