Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 6

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Jacuipense		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.87
	2.3	3	3
	2.21	2.88	3.03
	2.21	2.81	3.03
	2.22	3.1	3.1
	2.3	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.6)	2.96 ↓ (3.2)	3.01 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacuipense
39.8%

Draw
30.4%

Itabaiana
29.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.1%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

29%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacuipense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacuipense's performance.

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Itabaiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Itabaiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jacuipense - Itabaiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, Leo Simas ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent matches Jacuipense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Itabaiana is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Jacuipense
Brazilian Serie D
25.05.24	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Jacuipense	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jacuipense	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Jacuipense - Juazeirense	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Jacuipense - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Petrolina - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWTT
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie D
26.05.24	Itabaiana - Sergipe	0:0 ✺
19.05.24	Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Petrolina - Itabaiana	0:2 ✺
05.05.24	Itabaiana - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Juazeirense - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 TWWWT

Jacuipense - Itabaiana

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Jacuipense - Itabaiana Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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