Match Info

Serie D - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca (Arapiraca)


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		Jacuipense

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.15	5.17
	1.92	2.81	4.79	Watch
	1.85	3	3.75
	1.89	2.84	4.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.71)	2.95 ↓ (3.6)	4.57 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
48.6%

Draw
31.2%

Jacuipense
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.5%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

25.1%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's form might have worsened.

Jacuipense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jacuipense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASA won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

ASA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, ASA has had a series of home games.

In this match, ASA is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, ASA won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, ASA won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
01.04.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CS Alagoano	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	Botafogo PB - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:2 ✺
24.03.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Piauí	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
14.03.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
07.03.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWTT
- EC Jacuipense
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
30.03.26	Jacuipense - América RN	0:0 ✺
24.03.26	Sport Recife - Jacuipense	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Jacuipense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 penalties ✺
11.03.26	Santa Catarina - Jacuipense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
01.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.07.24	Jacuipense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0
18.05.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jacuipense	1:0
23.07.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jacuipense	3:2
07.05.23	Jacuipense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:2
12.06.22	Jacuipense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0
22.05.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jacuipense	1:1
09.06.19	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jacuipense	1:0

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jacuipense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide