Match Info

Druga NL - Round 27

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Jadran Poreč		Trnje Zagreb

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.75	1.74
	3.8	3.72	1.74
	3.85	3.81	1.77
	3.86	3.68	1.76
	3.85	3.75	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.29)	3.74 ↑ (3.52)	1.75 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jadran Poreč
23.7%

Draw
24.3%

Trnje Zagreb
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

25.7%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

24.8%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jadran Poreč has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Trnje Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trnje Zagreb's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jadran Poreč than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trnje Zagreb than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Jadran Poreč - Trnje Zagreb Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Jadran Poreč is Relegated to

Recent form of Jadran Poreč has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Trnje has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Trnje may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Trnje could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jadran Poreč won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jadran Poreč won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jadran Poreč
Croatian Druga NL
02.05.25	Karlovac - Jadran Poreč	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Jadran Poreč - Bjelovar	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Jadran Poreč	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Jadran Poreč	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Jadran Poreč - Hrvace	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LLWLL
- Trnje Zagreb
Croatian Druga NL
03.05.25	Grobničan - Trnje Zagreb	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Trnje Zagreb - Karlovac	0:4 ✺
18.04.25	Bjelovar - Trnje Zagreb	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	Trnje Zagreb - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Trnje Zagreb - Jadran Luka Ploče	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
09.11.24	Trnje Zagreb - Jadran Poreč	3:1
16.03.24	Jadran Poreč - Trnje Zagreb	1:0
09.09.23	Trnje Zagreb - Jadran Poreč	2:1
06.05.23	Jadran Poreč - Trnje Zagreb	2:1
29.10.22	Trnje Zagreb - Jadran Poreč	3:3

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