The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jagiellonia Białystok 37.6%
Draw 27.2%
Górnik Zabrze 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
27.7%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
28.3%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Jagiellonia Białystok aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 1.
Jagiellonia is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Górnik Zabrze is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Jagiellonia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Jagiellonia has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:33 (averaging 1.6:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jagiellonia against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 18:14 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).
Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Gornik Zabrze: 20.78% Jagiellonia: 3.27%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Gornik Zabrze
9
7
1
1
16:8
8
22
10
Jagiellonia
8
4
0
4
12:13
-1
12
Last Results with these Odds
Jagiellonia Białystok - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.83%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Górnik Zabrze - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 35.46%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
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