Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium (Piraeus)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Olympiacos Piraeus		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.00	10.00
	1.31	5.50	9.75
	1.30	5.60	11.00
	1.32	5.46	10.46
	1.31	5.33	10.19	Watch
	1.31	5.25	10.00
	1.32	5.04	10.50
	1.30	5.25	9.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.39)	5.3 ↑ (4.84)	10.21 ↑ (8.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
72.7%

Draw
17.9%

Jagiellonia Białystok
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

19.7%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

20.6%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	11.8%	0%

Olympiacos Piraeus - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Olympiacos (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Jagiellonia (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Olympiacos Piraeus will win (30 of 34 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.41% – 99.07%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympiacos Piraeus will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ortega S. (G) 2. Saliakas M. 45. Retsos P. (C) 5. Pirola L. 70. Onyemaechi B. 32. Hezze S. 19. Freuler R. 20. Jota Silva 22. Chiquinho 10. Martins G. 34. Gonzalez A.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 5. Vital B. 44. Konstantopoulos A. 23. Montoia G. 11. Imaz J. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 19. Klynge A. 27. Conceicao R. 99. Prelec N. 7. Szmyt K.
Substitutes
17. Bailey L. 21. Bakoulas T. 6. Carmo D. 77. Filis C. 61. Kouraklis G. (G) 27. Pedersen M. 15. Puerta G. 4. Smajlovic Z. 91. Stournaras D. (G) 71. Tiknizyan N. 11. Yaremchuk R.	10. Agbonifo J. 32. Cirkovic A. 14. Finndell H. 72. Jozwiak K. 85. Kozlowski E. 61. Krasiewicz B. 21. Lozano S. 1. Perchel M. (G) 67. Rabiczko J. (G) 3. Stojinovic D. 17. Sylla Y. 20. Wdowik B.
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Szmyt K. ⚽, Prelec N. (A),
29', Wojtuszek N. 🟨,
38', Onyemaechi B. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Retsos P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Onyemaechi B. ↓, Tiknizyan N. ↑,
46', Romanczuk T. ↓, Kozlowski E. ↑,
54', Montoia G. 🟨,
62', Gonzalez A. ↓, Yaremchuk R. ↑,
63', Klynge A. ↓, Finndell H. ↑,
63', Imaz J. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
75', Prelec N. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
76', Hezze S. 🟨,
77', Hezze S. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
77', Chiquinho ↓, Puerta G. ↑,
80', Vital B. 🟨,
82', Saliakas M. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Yaremchuk R. ⚽, Freuler R. (A),
87', Conceicao R. ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,

Preview

Olympiacos is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jagiellonia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Olympiacos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of away games.

In this match, Olympiacos is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Olympiacos: Clayton (Off the roster) El Kaabi A. (Broken Leg) Fortounis K. (Red Card) Garcia D. (Off the roster) Popovic B. (Off the roster) Roca J. (Shoulder Injury) Scipioni L. (Off the roster) Yazici Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Drachal D. (Off the roster) Rallis D. (Off the roster) Zalewski Z. (Off the roster)

There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Sow O. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Olympiacos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Olympiacos Piraeus: 1.66% Jagiellonia: 0.44%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Olympiacos Piraeus	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
21	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
12.09.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - OFI	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
08.09.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Volos	3:2 ✺
Greek Super League
05.09.26	Volos - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
Greek Cup
02.09.26	AEL Larissa - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:4 ✺
Greek Super League
30.08.26	Asteras Tripolis - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTWW
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.09.26	Wisła Kraków - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Iberia 1999 - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.07.19	Jagiellonia Białystok - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:5

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