Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium (Piraeus) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	23:30	1TV
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6, Sky Sport Mix
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 2
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	ESPN 5
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 5
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 5
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	21:00	Sky Sport Mix
Greece	22:00	ANT 1 Greece
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Paraguay	15:00	ESPN 5
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 5
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, M+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sky Sport Mix
Thailand	02:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United Kingdom	20:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 8
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter


	Olympiacos Piraeus		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.00	10.00
	1.31	5.50	9.75
	1.30	5.60	11.00
	1.32	5.46	10.46
	1.31	5.33	10.19	Watch
	1.31	5.25	10.00
	1.32	5.04	10.50
	1.30	5.25	9.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.39)	5.3 ↑ (4.84)	10.21 ↑ (8.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
72.7%

Draw
17.9%

Jagiellonia Białystok
9.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.5%

19.7%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

19.8%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	11.8%	0%

Olympiacos Piraeus - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Olympiacos (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Jagiellonia (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Olympiacos Piraeus will win (30 of 34 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.41% – 99.07%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympiacos Piraeus will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ortega S. (G) 2. Saliakas M. 45. Retsos P. (C) 5. Pirola L. 70. Onyemaechi B. 32. Hezze S. 19. Freuler R. 20. Jota Silva 22. Chiquinho 10. Martins G. 34. Gonzalez A.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 5. Vital B. 44. Konstantopoulos A. 23. Montoia G. 11. Imaz J. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 19. Klynge A. 27. Conceicao R. 99. Prelec N. 7. Szmyt K.
Substitutes
17. Bailey L. 21. Bakoulas T. 6. Carmo D. 77. Filis C. 61. Kouraklis G. (G) 27. Pedersen M. 15. Puerta G. 4. Smajlovic Z. 91. Stournaras D. (G) 71. Tiknizyan N. 11. Yaremchuk R.	10. Agbonifo J. 32. Cirkovic A. 14. Finndell H. 72. Jozwiak K. 85. Kozlowski E. 61. Krasiewicz B. 21. Lozano S. 1. Perchel M. (G) 67. Rabiczko J. (G) 3. Stojinovic D. 17. Sylla Y. 20. Wdowik B.
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Szmyt K. ⚽, Prelec N. (A),
29', Wojtuszek N. 🟨,
38', Onyemaechi B. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Retsos P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Onyemaechi B. ↓, Tiknizyan N. ↑,
46', Romanczuk T. ↓, Kozlowski E. ↑,
54', Montoia G. 🟨,
62', Gonzalez A. ↓, Yaremchuk R. ↑,
63', Klynge A. ↓, Finndell H. ↑,
63', Imaz J. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
75', Prelec N. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
76', Hezze S. 🟨,
77', Hezze S. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
77', Chiquinho ↓, Puerta G. ↑,
80', Vital B. 🟨,
82', Saliakas M. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Yaremchuk R. ⚽, Freuler R. (A),
87', Conceicao R. ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,

Preview

Olympiacos is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jagiellonia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Olympiacos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of away games.

In this match, Olympiacos is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Olympiacos: Clayton (Off the roster) El Kaabi A. (Broken Leg) Fortounis K. (Red Card) Garcia D. (Off the roster) Popovic B. (Off the roster) Roca J. (Shoulder Injury) Scipioni L. (Off the roster) Yazici Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Drachal D. (Off the roster) Rallis D. (Off the roster) Zalewski Z. (Off the roster)

There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Sow O. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Olympiacos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Olympiacos Piraeus	3	3	0	0	4:1	3	9
27	Jagiellonia	3	1	0	2	4:6	-2	3

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Olympiacos Piraeus: 2.79% Jagiellonia: 0.52%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
12.09.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - OFI	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
08.09.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Volos	3:2 ✺
Greek Super League
05.09.26	Volos - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
Greek Cup
02.09.26	AEL Larissa - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:4 ✺
Greek Super League
30.08.26	Asteras Tripolis - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTWW
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.09.26	Wisła Kraków - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Iberia 1999 - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.07.19	Jagiellonia Białystok - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:5

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