Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Jagiellonia Białystok		Sūduva Marijampolė

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.80	3.50
	1.72	3.6	4.1
	1.58	3.62	3.99
	1.69	3.91	4.17
	1.54	3.5	3.9
	1.68	3.94	4.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.48)	3.73 ↓ (4.16)	4.02 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
53.9%

Draw
23.9%

Sūduva Marijampolė
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60%

21.3%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jagiellonia Białystok's form might have worsened.

Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Jagiellonia Białystok - Sūduva Marijampolė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perchel M. (G)
10. Agbonifo J.
27. Conceicao R.
14. Finndell H.
19. Klynge A.
4. Kobayashi Y.
21. Lozano S.
2. Polak C.
30. Sow O.
7. Szmyt K.
5. Vital B.
Substitutes
32. Cirkovic A.
66. Damasiewicz A. (G)
. Duchowski
11. Imaz J.
72. Jozwiak K.
. Kononov M.
44. Konstantopoulos A.
61. Krasiewicz B.
. Kucharski J.
90. Kuczynski M.
. Kuprianowicz C.
62. Pankiewicz S.
. Pawelczyk O.
. Polkowski D.
67. Rabiczko J. (G)
9. Rallis D.
3. Stojinovic D.
17. Sylla Y.
20. Wdowik B.
. Ziarek A.

Key Events of the Match

(5 - 0)

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Jagiellonia (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sūduva has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Jagiellonia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sūduva has had a run of games away from home.

Bookmakers give the edge to Jagiellonia for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Jagiellonia has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Legia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.09.26	Wisła Kraków - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.09.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	5:1 ✺
06.09.26	Transinvest - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.01.13	Sūduva Marijampolė - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:3

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