Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Aukstaitijos Stadium (Panevėžys) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Simovic N. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	17:30	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	16:30	Canal 11


	Panevėžys		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.33	1.44	Watch
	7.5	4.33	1.46
	7	4.33	1.44	Watch
	7.66	4.38	1.46
	7	4.49	1.43	Watch
	7	4.2	1.4
	7.3	4.53	1.48	Watch
	6.5	4.35	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.93 ↑ (4.45)	4.37 ↑ (3.55)	1.44 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panevėžys
13.5%

Draw
21.5%

Jagiellonia Białystok
65%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.8%

26.1%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panevėžys's form might have worsened.

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jagiellonia Białystok's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	8.9%	69.6%

Panevėžys - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Panevėžys will win (votes: 12 - 21.8%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 38 - 69.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 56.9% – 81.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Timbur E. (G) 32. Rasimavicius R. 4. Dubra K. 2. Klimavicius L. (C) 72. Mazan R. 20. Cadjenovic J. 5. Gorobsov N. 7. Veliulis E. 31. Palacios-Martinez F. 10. De Vega L. 28. Gussias S.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 16. Sacek M. 17. Dieguez A. 72. Skrzypczak M. 44. Moutinho J. 7. Marczuk D. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 8. Nene 99. Hansen K. 11. Imaz J. 10. Pululu A.
Substitutes
29. Beneta M. 13. Bukel D. (G) 15. Cacutalua M. 1. Cerniauskas V. (G) 21. Dieng Ch. 97. Karvatskyi A. 17. Luksys N. 36. Mbo N. 23. Sarpong J.	9. Diaby-Fadiga L. 4. Haliti J. 14. Kubicki J. 77. Laski W. 39. Nguiamba A. 19. Olszewski P. 51. Rybak A. 3. Stojinovic D. 1. Stryjek M. (G) 20. Villar Miki
Coaches
Vreven S.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽, Hansen K. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Imaz J. ⚽, Sacek M. (A),
29', 0 - 3, Imaz J. ⚽, Pululu A. (A),
39', Gussias S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Palacios-Martinez F. ↓, Dieng Ch. ↑,
46', Gussias S. ↓, Mbo N. ↑,
66', Marczuk D. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
66', Nene ↓, Kubicki J. ↑,
75', Veliulis E. ↓, Sarpong J. ↑,
77', Pululu A. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
80', 0 - 4, Hansen K. ⚽, Sacek M. (A),
83', Moutinho J. 🟨,
84', De Vega L. ↓, Luksys N. ↑,
84', Rasimavicius R. ↓, Beneta M. ↑,
85', Hansen K. ↓, Laski W. ↑,
85', Moutinho J. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Panevėžys is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jagiellonia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Panevėžys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Panevėžys have a series of home games.

In this match Jagiellonia is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.07.24	Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.24	HJK - Panevėžys	1:1 ✺
09.07.24	Panevėžys - HJK	3:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
04.07.24	Panevėžys - Hegelmann Litauen	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Panevėžys - Banga Gargždai	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LTWLL
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.07.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:0 ✺
03.07.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Miedź Legnica	3:1 ✺
28.06.24	Sigma Olomouc - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.05.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Warta Poznań	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWTW

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