Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 5

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Braci Czachorów (Radom)

Referee: Myc W. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Poland	CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Radomiak Radom		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.6	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.6
	2.45	3.45	2.62	Watch
	2.5	3.55	2.79
	1.57	3.78	6.21	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.62
	2.49	3.52	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.59)	3.5 (3.5)	3.15 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Radomiak Radom
41.5%

Draw
27.7%

Jagiellonia Białystok
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

27.1%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	18.2%	36.4%

Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 2 - 40%). Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Jagiellonia (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Jagiellonia (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 24. Zie Ouattara 5. Blasco J. 26. Dieguez A. 20. Joao Pedro 28. Kaput M. 77. Donis C. 13. Grzesik J. 10. Alves R. 27. Wolski R. (C) 25. Maurides	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 3. Stojinovic D. 4. Kobayashi Y. 27. Wdowik B. 31. Flach L. 11. Imaz J. (C) 86. Mazurek B. 7. Pozo A. 10. Pululu A. 18. Prip L.
Substitutes
21. Balde E. 2. Camara I. 16. Cichocki M. 29. Depu 8. Golubickas P. 75. Jerke M. (G) 74. Kingue S. 44. Koptas W. (G) 9. Leandro 7. Lopes V. 37. Molendowski M. 15. Tapsoba A.	19. Cantero A. 8. Drachal D. 25. Jackson A. 22. Piekutowski M. (G) 80. Pietuszewski O. 5. Polak C. 9. Rallis D. 6. Romanczuk T. 20. Villar Miki 13. Vital B.
Coaches
Henriques J.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Donis C. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Grzesik J. ⚽, Joao Pedro (A),
34', Wojtuszek N. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽, Mazurek B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Prip L. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
46', Mazurek B. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Imaz J. ⚽, Drachal D. (A),
62', Donis C. ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
70', Imaz J. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
70', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
76', Maurides ↓, Depu ↑,
76', Zie Ouattara ↓, Balde E. ↑,
76', Kaput M. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
80', Wolski R. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
81', Stojinovic D. ↓, Vital B. ↑,
83', Lopes V. 🟨,
86', Alves R. 🟨,
88', Blasco J. 🟨,
90+2', Dieguez A. 🟨,
90+4', Leandro 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 0.

Recent performances by Radomiak have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jagiellonia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.08.25	Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa	3:1 ✺
25.07.25	Arka Gdynia - Radomiak Radom	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWTWL
- Jagiellonia Białystok
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Silkeborg IF	2:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.08.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia	5:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Silkeborg IF - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:1 ✺
31.07.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Novi Pazar	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.07.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
02.02.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom	5:0
27.07.24	Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:3
16.03.24	Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2
17.09.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom	3:2
Club Friendly
01.07.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom	2:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.02.23	Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:0
06.08.22	Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom	1:2

Upcoming Matches