Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 13

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday


	Jagiellonia II Białystok		Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	2.95
	2	3.65	3.1
	2.01	3.73	3.09
	2.03	3.54	3.1	Watch
	2	3.65	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.77)	3.61 ↓ (4.1)	3.07 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia II Białystok
45.2%

Draw
25.1%

Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

22.2%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

15.9%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jagiellonia II Białystok's form might have worsened.

Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jagiellonia II Białystok that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jagiellonia II Białystok - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Wolski F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.10.24	Wigry Suwałki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	2:2 ✺
27.09.24	Wikielec - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Broń Radom	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTLWL
- Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.10.24	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Victoria Sulejówek	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Wisła Płock II - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	3:2 ✺
28.09.24	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Stomil Olsztyn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.04.22	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2
19.09.21	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	2:0
27.03.21	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2

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