Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Jagiellonia II Białystok		Broń Radom

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.05
	1.30	5.43	7.39	Watch
	1.99	3.6	3.14	Watch
	2.4	3.7	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.32)	4.08 ↑ (3.55)	4.03 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia II Białystok
51.5%

Draw
24.1%

Broń Radom
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

25.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

25.8%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia II Białystok's performance.

Broń Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Broń Radom might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jagiellonia II Białystok that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Broń Radom could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jagiellonia II Białystok - Broń Radom Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Broń Radom (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Jakimiuk J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 2.

Jagiellonia II is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Broń Radom is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jagiellonia II might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.09.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wisła Płock II	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Znicz Biała Piska	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Legia II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTTLL
- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.09.25	Broń Radom - Znicz Biała Piska	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Broń Radom - Wigry Suwałki	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	ŁKS Łomża - Broń Radom	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Broń Radom - Widzew Łódź II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.04.25	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:3
22.09.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Broń Radom	1:0
24.11.23	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:0
05.08.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Broń Radom	1:1
28.05.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Broń Radom	2:2
28.10.22	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1
01.06.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Broń Radom	1:2

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