Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 28

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Jagiellonia II Białystok		Widzew Łódź II

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.7	3.4
	1.81	4.04	3.42	Watch
	1.7	4.12	4.01	Watch
	1.63	3.78	3.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.63)	3.91 ↑ (3.78)	3.7 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia II Białystok
52.2%

Draw
23.2%

Widzew Łódź II
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

23.4%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

22.3%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Widzew Łódź II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź II than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Jagiellonia II Białystok - Widzew Łódź II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Ratajczyk A. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Madej L. ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, Rallis D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 3, Busz I. ⚽,
79', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 10).

Jagiellonia II is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Widzew Łódź II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Jagiellonia II is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jagiellonia II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Jagiellonia II	10	4	3	3	22:20	2	15
10	Widzew Lodz II	10	4	2	4	21:18	3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.04.26	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Znicz Biała Piska - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
03.04.26	Wisła Płock II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:4 ✺
22.03.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legia II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWWL
- Widzew Łódź II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.04.26	Widzew Łódź II - Wasilków	2:3 ✺
15.04.26	Wikielec - Widzew Łódź II	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Widzew Łódź II	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Widzew Łódź II - Znicz Biała Piska	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Widzew Łódź II - Troszyn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.10.25	Widzew Łódź II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1

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