Match Info
Liga Premier Serie A - Round 21Date: 28 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna (Tuxtla Gutiérrez)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Jaguares de Chiapas |
|
Neza |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.19 |
6.98 |
7.81 |
|
 |
1.21 |
7.28 |
8.21 |
 Watch |
 |
1.2 |
6 |
10 |
|
 |
1.12 |
7.6 |
11.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.18 ↓
(1.38) |
6.97 ↑
(4.84) |
9.38 ↑
(6.43) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jaguares de Chiapas
77.2% | Draw
13.1% | Neza
9.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaguares de Chiapas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaguares de Chiapas's performance.Neza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Chiapas than the current prediction. (-28.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaguares de Chiapas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neza than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Jaguares de Chiapas - Neza Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Chiapas (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.75, 1st Half - Chiapas (3.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chiapas (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 58', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 68', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 71', 5 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 6 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 11).Chiapas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Neza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Chiapas is the undisputed favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chiapas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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