Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Jahnstadion Regensburg (Regensburg)

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub 5
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 4
World	Onefootball


	Jahn Regensburg		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2	Watch
	3.6	3.5	2
	3.45	3.5	2.02	Watch
	3.22	3.75	2.17
	3.6	3.51	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2
	3.63	3.59	2.01	Watch
	3.45	3.5	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.28)	3.53 ↓ (3.57)	2.03 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
27%

Draw
26.7%

Nürnberg
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

26.5%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	3.8%	88.5%

Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg Predictions

Users Predictions: Nürnberg will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Pollersbeck J. (G) 27. Ananou F. 14. Ziegele R. 37. Wurm L. 2. Handwerker T. 30. Kuhlwetter C. 8. Geipl A. (C) 34. Suhonen A. 9. Hottmann E. 20. Ganaus N. 22. Adamyan S.	1. Reichert J. (G) 5. Drexler T. 31. Knoche R. (C) 44. Karafiat O. 32. Janisch T. 20. Jander C. 18. Lubach R. 21. Yilmaz B. 10. Justvan J. 17. Castrop J. 28. Antiste J.
Substitutes
4. Ballas F. 5. Bulic R. 15. Ernst S. 39. Galjen D. 1. Gebhardt F. (G) 3. Hein B. 29. Huth E. 33. Proger K. 10. Viet C.	3. Danilo Soares 30. Emreli M. 6. Flick F. 34. Forkel D. 4. Gruber F. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 36. Schleimer L. 33. Seidel N. 2. Villadsen O.
Coaches
Patz A.	Klose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Antiste J. ⚽, Castrop J. (A),
23', Knoche R. ↓, Flick F. ↑,
41', Geipl A. 🟨,
42', Adamyan S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Geipl A. ↓, Bulic R. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Flick F. (Own goal),
55', 2 - 1, Ganaus N. ⚽,
59', Flick F. ↓, Gruber F. ↑,
59', Lubach R. ↓, Schleimer L. ↑,
63', Ananou F. ↓, Viet C. ↑,
72', Kuhlwetter C. 🟨,
77', Ganaus N. ↓, Ernst S. ↑,
77', Antiste J. ↓, Emreli M. ↑,
77', Karafiat O. ↓, Forkel D. ↑,
86', Adamyan S. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
86', Handwerker T. ↓, Proger K. ↑,
90', Castrop J. 🟨,
90+3', Drexler T. 🟨,
90+4', Janisch T. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 0.

Regensburg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nürnberg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Regensburg have a series of guest games.

Nürnberg will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Regensburg: Proger K. (Muscle Injury) Schonfelder O. (Knee Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16:23 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Regensburg won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Greuther Fürth - Jahn Regensburg	3:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Jahn Regensburg - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Kaiserslautern - Jahn Regensburg	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	Preußen Münster - Jahn Regensburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTLL
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
16.03.25	Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	Preußen Münster - Nürnberg	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Nürnberg - Hannover	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Nürnberg - Ulm 1846	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.24	Nürnberg - Jahn Regensburg	8:3
11.02.23	Nürnberg - Jahn Regensburg	1:0
06.08.22	Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg	0:0
19.02.22	Nürnberg - Jahn Regensburg	2:0
12.09.21	Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg	2:2
27.01.21	Nürnberg - Jahn Regensburg	0:1
18.09.20	Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg	1:1

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