Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Jahnstadion Regensburg (Regensburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 6
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Montenegro	Sportklub 6
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	SportKlub 6
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
Usa	ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Jahn Regensburg		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.9	1.62	Watch
	4.75	3.9	1.71
	5	3.8	1.64	Watch
	5.53	3.91	1.68
	5.29	3.86	1.66	Watch
	5	3.75	1.65	Watch
	5.08	3.86	1.68	Watch
	5	3.8	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (4.21)	3.85 ↑ (3.61)	1.66 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
18.5%

Draw
24.6%

Paderborn
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

25.9%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

25.4%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paderborn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	4.5%	86.4%

Jahn Regensburg - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Pollersbeck J. (G) 27. Ananou F. 37. Wurm L. 16. Breunig L. 2. Handwerker T. 8. Geipl A. (C) 30. Kuhlwetter C. 15. Ernst S. 10. Viet C. 9. Hottmann E. 22. Adamyan S.	1. Riemann M. (G) 33. Hoffmeier M. 20. Gotze F. 25. Scheller T. 23. Obermair R. (C) 6. Mehlem M. 5. Castaneda S. 32. Zehnter A. 7. Bilbija F. 24. Terho C. 29. Ansah I.
Substitutes
5. Bulic R. 20. Ganaus N. 1. Gebhardt F. (G) 3. Hein B. 29. Huth E. 36. Kieffer B. 31. Meyer M. 34. Suhonen A. 14. Ziegele R.	37. Brandt J. 17. Curda L. 43. Ens M. 39. Grimaldi A. 22. Hansen M. 19. Herrmann L. 11. Michel S. 30. Schubert M. (G) 38. Zobel T.
Coaches
Patz A.	Kwasniok L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Mehlem M. 🟨,
26', Scheller T. 🟨,
34', Scheller T. ↓, Curda L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Terho C. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
58', Geipl A. 🟨,
61', Breunig L. 🟨,
65', Ansah I. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
71', Geipl A. ↓, Suhonen A. ↑,
71', Adamyan S. ↓, Ganaus N. ↑,
73', Mehlem M. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
86', Ernst S. ↓, Meyer M. ↑,
86', Hottmann E. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
90+3', Ganaus N. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 2.

Regensburg is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paderborn is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Regensburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paderborn is a favorite.

There will not play in Regensburg: Schmidt C. (Knee Injury) Schonfelder O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Paderborn: Platte F. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Paderborn: Brackelmann C. (Injury) Engelns L. (Knee Injury) Klaas S. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:14 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Regensburg won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Jahn Regensburg - the odds 4.21 are the expected chance of winning is 22.25%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
01.03.25	Kaiserslautern - Jahn Regensburg	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	Preußen Münster - Jahn Regensburg	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
07.02.25	Greuther Fürth - Jahn Regensburg	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Jahn Regensburg - Hertha Berlin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLTLW
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
02.03.25	Paderborn - Hamburger SV	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Hannover - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Paderborn - Preußen Münster	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Ulm 1846 - Paderborn	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.24	Paderborn - Jahn Regensburg	3:0
18.03.23	Jahn Regensburg - Paderborn	1:0
10.09.22	Paderborn - Jahn Regensburg	3:0
20.03.22	Jahn Regensburg - Paderborn	1:0
15.10.21	Paderborn - Jahn Regensburg	1:1
26.02.21	Jahn Regensburg - Paderborn	1:0
31.10.20	Paderborn - Jahn Regensburg	3:1

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