Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Olympiastadion (Berlin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	09:30	Disney+, ESPN, FOX Sports
Armenia	16:30	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Australia	23:30	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	13:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Bulgaria	14:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada
Colombia	07:30	ESPN
Croatia	13:30	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	13:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	13:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	13:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hong Kong	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	13:30	Arena 4
Iceland	12:30	Viaplay
Israel	14:30	Sport 3
Laos	19:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	13:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	06:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	01:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	13:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	13:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	07:30	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	13:30	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	12:30	DAZN / App
Romania	14:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 1
Saudi Arabia	15:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	13:30	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	20:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	13:30	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	15:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	09:30	Disney+
Usa	07:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	08:30	Disney+, ESPN
International	12:30	Onefootball


	Hertha Berlin		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.12	3.45	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.63	3.25
	2.13	3.64	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.16	3.5	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.95)	3.49 ↓ (3.88)	3.16 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hertha Berlin
43.5%

Draw
26.8%

Nürnberg
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.4%

24.3%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

24.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ernst T. (C) 33. Karbownik M. 31. Dardai M. 44. Gechter L. 27. Kolbe N. 8. Sessa K. 28. Dudziak J. 30. Seguin P. 7. Brekalo J. 9. Kownacki D. 11. Reese F.	1. Reichert J. (G) 27. von der Hitz J. 4. Gruber F. (C) 24. Lochoshvili L. 21. Yilmaz B. 25. Becker F. O. 5. Baack T. 10. Justvan J. 22. Nzingoula R. 33. Grimaldi A. 23. Zoma M. A.
Substitutes
25. Brooks J. 10. Cuisance M. 2. Eitschberger J. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 17. Gronning S. 37. Leistner T. 18. Schuler L. 47. Telib S. 22. Winkler M.	7. Biron M. 17. Chaikhoun A. 20. Fernandez J. 32. Janisch T. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 44. Mkrtchyan S. 41. Porstner E. 39. Scobel P. 16. Soldic M.
Coaches
Leitl S.	Klose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Brekalo J. ⚽, Dudziak J. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Baack T. ⚽, von der Hitz J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', von der Hitz J. ↓, Janisch T. ↑,
62', Grimaldi A. ↓, Scobel P. ↑,
64', Sessa K. ↓, Cuisance M. ↑,
64', Reese F. ↓, Winkler M. ↑,
64', Kownacki D. ↓, Schuler L. ↑,
76', Kolbe N. ↓, Eitschberger J. ↑,
76', Nzingoula R. ↓, Biron M. ↑,
79', Gruber F. 🟨,
83', Dudziak J. ↓, Gronning S. ↑,
86', Becker F. O. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Brekalo J. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 2.

Recent form of Hertha has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Nürnberg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nürnberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hertha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hertha won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	9	8	1	0	20:8	12	25
2	Nurnberg	9	5	3	1	21:12	9	18

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Hertha Berlin: 41.74% Nurnberg: 7.93%

Last Results with these Odds

Nürnberg - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 27.22%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
22.02.26	Paderborn - Hertha Berlin	5:2 ✺
14.02.26	Hertha Berlin - Hannover	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
10.02.26	Hertha Berlin - Freiburg	1:2 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
07.02.26	Elversberg - Hertha Berlin	0:3 ✺
01.02.26	Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLWT
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
20.02.26	Bochum - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Nürnberg - Karlsruher	5:1 ✺
07.02.26	Paderborn - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Nürnberg - Preußen Münster	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Darmstadt - Nürnberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
28.09.25	Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin	0:3
21.02.25	Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg	0:0
21.09.24	Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin	0:2
30.03.24	Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg	3:3
22.10.23	Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin	3:1
German Bundesliga
20.01.19	Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin	1:3
25.08.18	Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg	1:0

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