Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - APERTURA - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tamaulipas (Tampico-Ciudad Madero)


	Jaiba Brava		Chihuahua

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	4.75
	1.6	3.4	5.5
	1.55	3.25	4.6
	1.91	3.5	3.4
	1.58	3.8	4.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.91)	3.47 ↑ (3.44)	4.64 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaiba Brava
54.6%

Draw
26%

Chihuahua
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26.5%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

25.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaiba Brava's performance.

Chihuahua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chihuahua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chihuahua than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chihuahua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Jaiba Brava - Chihuahua Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Jaiba Brava will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Chihuahua will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jaiba Brava: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Tampico Madero in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Chihuahua is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chihuahua could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tampico Madero will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tampico Madero won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
02.11.22	Chihuahua - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Jaiba Brava - Canamy	3:1 ✺
26.10.22	Canamy - Jaiba Brava	2:3 ✺
15.10.22	Jaiba Brava - La Piedad	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Catedráticos Elite - Jaiba Brava	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWW
- Chihuahua FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
02.11.22	Chihuahua - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Los Cabos United - Chihuahua	2:1 ✺
26.10.22	Chihuahua - Los Cabos United	2:0 ✺
22.10.22	Tritones Vallarta - Chihuahua	0:0 ✺
14.10.22	Chihuahua - Halcones	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
02.11.22	Chihuahua - Jaiba Brava	0:0

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