Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Tamaulipas (Tampico-Ciudad Madero)


	Jaiba Brava		Racing de Veracruz

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.9	3.25	3.75
	1.97	2.96	4.13
	2.01	2.94	4.03
	2.3	3.4	2.6
	1.9	3.15	4.24
	1.9	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.44)	3.15 (3.15)	3.73 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaiba Brava
46.2%

Draw
29.2%

Racing de Veracruz
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.3%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29.5%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaiba Brava's performance.

Racing de Veracruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing de Veracruz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaiba Brava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing de Veracruz than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing de Veracruz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+5', 🟥,
45+10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Tampico Madero is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )

Porto Palmeiras is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Tampico Madero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tampico Madero won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Tampico Madero won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.05.24	Jaiba Brava - Deportiva Venados	1:1 ✺
08.05.24	Deportiva Venados - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Jaiba Brava - Inter Playa Del Carmen	2:1 ✺
01.05.24	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Jaiba Brava	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Jaiba Brava - Deportiva Venados	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWWW
- Racing de Veracruz
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.05.24	Racing de Veracruz - Irapuato	1:0 ✺
08.05.24	Irapuato - Racing de Veracruz	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Aguacateros de Peribán - Racing de Veracruz	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Racing de Veracruz - Petroleros Salamanca	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Irapuato - Racing de Veracruz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
12.02.24	Racing de Veracruz - Jaiba Brava	2:0
09.09.23	Jaiba Brava - Racing de Veracruz	0:0

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