Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tamaulipas (Tampico-Ciudad Madero)


	Jaiba Brava		Deportiva Venados

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	6.75
	1.36	4.5	7
	1.38	4.42	7.6
	1.36	4.56	7.95	Watch
	1.36	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.69)	4.44 ↑ (3.79)	7.26 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaiba Brava
66.8%

Draw
20.6%

Deportiva Venados
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

24.4%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

23.7%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaiba Brava's performance.

Deportiva Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportiva Venados might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaiba Brava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportiva Venados than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportiva Venados could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jaiba Brava - Deportiva Venados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Martinez Garcia F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, Maya A. ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Tampico Madero is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )

Deportiva Venados is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )

Tampico Madero in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Deportiva Venados is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Tampico Madero is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tampico Madero to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tampico Madero won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Tampico Madero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.05.24	Deportiva Venados - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Jaiba Brava - Inter Playa Del Carmen	2:1 ✺
01.05.24	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Jaiba Brava	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Jaiba Brava - Deportiva Venados	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Canamy - Jaiba Brava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWWW
- Deportiva Venados
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.05.24	Deportiva Venados - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Deportiva Venados - Petroleros Salamanca	3:0 ✺
01.05.24	Petroleros Salamanca - Deportiva Venados	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Jaiba Brava - Deportiva Venados	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Deportiva Venados - Montañeses	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.05.24	Deportiva Venados - Jaiba Brava	0:0
27.04.24	Jaiba Brava - Deportiva Venados	2:0
25.11.23	Deportiva Venados - Jaiba Brava	2:0

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