Match Info

First League - Round 24

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Jaiyq		Turan Turkistan

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.90	1.50
	4.90	4.15	1.47
	4.50	4.20	1.45
	5.10	3.52	1.63	Watch
	4.50	4.05	1.47
	5.43	4.57	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (4.51)	4.07 ↓ (4.11)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaiyq
18.2%

Draw
21.9%

Turan Turkistan
59.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20%

21.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

21%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaiyq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Turan Turkistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiyq than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Daniyalov D. (Own goal),
45+2', 1 - 1, Umbetov T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 6th and 3rd).

In recent outings, Jaiyq has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Turan is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this matchup, Turan is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Jaiyq has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Turan	26	18	3	5	55:22	33	57
8	Jaiyq	26	9	5	12	24:33	-9	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Jaiyq
Kazakh First League
17.09.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Jaiyq	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Jaiyq - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Jaiyq - Yelimay 2	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Aktobe 2 - Jaiyq	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Jaiyq - Kaspiy Aktau 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWLT
- FC Turan Turkistan
Kazakh First League
18.09.26	Turan Turkistan - Yelimay 2	4:1 ✺
10.09.26	Aktobe 2 - Turan Turkistan	1:3 ✺
04.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Turan Turkistan	0:3 ✺
21.08.26	Turan Turkistan - Kairat 2	0:4 ✺
14.08.26	Taraz - Turan Turkistan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
03.07.26	Turan Turkistan - Jaiyq	2:2

Jaiyq - Turan Turkistan