Match Info

First League - Round 9

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	09:00	SportsEngine Play


	Kaspiy Aktau 2		Turan Turkistan

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.75	1.33
	6.80	4.70	1.30
	6.20	4.60	1.30
	7.5	4.85	1.33	Watch
	6.85	4.70	1.31
	8.00	4.70	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.02 ↑ (6.93)	4.72 ↓ (5.16)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau 2
12.8%

Draw
19%

Turan Turkistan
68.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.2%

17.7%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

17.1%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Turan Turkistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Kaspiy Aktau 2 aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Duisenbekuly K. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Duisenbekuly K. ⚽, Shamshi S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 3, Kenesov A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Turan is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kaspiy 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Turan	26	18	3	5	55:22	33	57
10	Kaspij Aktau 2	26	8	4	14	37:49	-12	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau 2
Kazakh First League
21.08.26	Jaiyq - Kaspiy Aktau 2	0:0 ✺
14.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Yelimay 2	2:1 ✺
06.08.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaspiy Aktau 2	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Aktobe 2	6:1 ✺
23.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLWW
- FC Turan Turkistan
Kazakh First League
21.08.26	Turan Turkistan - Kairat 2	0:4 ✺
14.08.26	Taraz - Turan Turkistan	0:0 ✺
30.07.26	Khan Tengri - Turan Turkistan	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Turan Turkistan - Tobol 2	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Arys - Turan Turkistan	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
12.06.26	Turan Turkistan - Kaspiy Aktau 2	3:0

Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Turan Turkistan