Match Info

First League - Round 19

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Turan Turkistan		Kairat 2

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.80	3.40
	2.52	3.55	2.25
	2.33	3.55	2.28
	1.85	4.06	3.27	Watch
	2.13	3.55	2.7
	1.74	3.94	3.66	Watch
	1.8	3.8	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.81)	3.75 ↓ (4.08)	2.98 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turan Turkistan
45.2%

Draw
24.3%

Kairat 2
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

22.4%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

22.8%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turan Turkistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Turan Turkistan's performance.

Kairat 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kairat 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Turan Turkistan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat 2 than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kairat 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Birkurmanov M. ⚽, Ismagulov T. (A),
18', 0 - 2, Toleukhan A. ⚽, Makhametzhan K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 0 - 3, Birkurmanov M. ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 4, Orynbasar D. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Turan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kairat 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Turan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Turan has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Turan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Turan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty 2	23	17	5	1	66:12	54	56
3	Turan	23	16	2	5	51:21	30	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Turan Turkistan
Kazakh First League
14.08.26	Taraz - Turan Turkistan	0:0 ✺
30.07.26	Khan Tengri - Turan Turkistan	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Turan Turkistan - Tobol 2	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Arys - Turan Turkistan	0:4 ✺
10.07.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWWWL
- Kairat Almaty 2
Kazakh First League
13.08.26	Kairat 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	0:0 ✺
06.08.26	Yelimay 2 - Kairat 2	1:0 ✺
31.07.26	Kairat 2 - Jaiyq	2:2 ✺
24.07.26	Aktobe 2 - Kairat 2	0:4 ✺
17.07.26	Kairat 2 - Kaspiy Aktau 2	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
21.05.26	Kairat 2 - Turan Turkistan	2:0
02.10.23	Turan Turkistan - Kairat 2	2:0
23.06.23	Kairat 2 - Turan Turkistan	2:3

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