Match Info

First League - Round 22

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Aktobe 2		Turan Turkistan

	1	X	2
	7.8	5.15	1.24
	8.93	3.95	1.37	Watch
	9.25	4.4	1.22
	12.6	5.4	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.65 ↑ (4.4)	4.73 ↑ (3.3)	1.26 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aktobe 2
9.3%

Draw
19.1%

Turan Turkistan
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

27.3%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

26.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aktobe 2's form might have worsened.

Turan Turkistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Turan Turkistan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe 2 than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aktobe 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Turan Turkistan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Oralbay E. ⚽, Kenesov A. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Saidov E. ⚽, Oralbay E. (A),
33', 1 - 2, Muratov D. ⚽, Begimov A. (A),
38', 1 - 3, Sabirov A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3).

Aktobe 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Turan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aktobe 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Turan is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aktobe 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 1:6.5).

Including home match between the teams, Aktobe 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Turan	23	16	2	5	51:21	30	50
12	Aktobe 2	23	6	5	12	38:69	-31	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aktobe 2
Kazakh First League
03.09.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Aktobe 2	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Aktobe 2 - Jaiyq	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Yelimay 2 - Aktobe 2	2:5 ✺
13.08.26	Aktobe 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	1:6 ✺
06.08.26	Aktobe 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLL
- FC Turan Turkistan
Kazakh First League
04.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Turan Turkistan	0:3 ✺
21.08.26	Turan Turkistan - Kairat 2	0:4 ✺
14.08.26	Taraz - Turan Turkistan	0:0 ✺
30.07.26	Khan Tengri - Turan Turkistan	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Turan Turkistan - Tobol 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
04.08.23	Turan Turkistan - Aktobe 2	7:1
27.04.23	Aktobe 2 - Turan Turkistan	1:6

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