Match Info

ASIA: World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 7

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, RTHK TV 32
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, Vidio
Japan	DAZN Japan, TVer
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Montenegro	SportKlub 1, SportKlub
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, TDM Desporto
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Qatar	Al Kass Five, Shoof
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start Triumph
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Japan		Bahrain

	1	X	2
	1.14	9	15	Watch
	1.09	10.5	26
	1.11	8	21
	1.1	9.09	24.56
	1.12	7.99	20.72	Watch
	1.11	8.5	29	Watch
	1.14	8.95	15.5	Watch
	1.11	8	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.14)	8.75 ↑ (8.5)	21.6 ↑ (17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
84.8%

Draw
10.8%

Bahrain
4.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.3%

11.1%

5.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Bahrain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

Japan - Bahrain Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Bahrain will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Japan: 72.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Suzuki Z. (G) Parma 22. Seko A. Grasshoppers 4. Itakura K. B. Monchengladbach 21. Ito H. Bayern Munich 10. Doan R. Freiburg 6. Endo W. Liverpool 5. Morita H. Sporting Lisbon 7. Mitoma K. Brighton 20. Kubo T. Real Sociedad 9. Ueda A. Feyenoord 8. Minamino T. Monaco	22. Lutfalla E. (G) Al-Ahli 5. Al Shamsan H. Al Riffa 2. Benaddi A. Al-Muharraq 3. Al Hayam W. Al-Muharraq 23. Al Khalasi A. Al-Muharraq 7. Madan A. Ajman 4. Dhiya S. Al Naser 8. Marhoon M. Al Kuwait 10. Al Aswad K. Al Arabi (Kuwait) 20. Al Humaidan M. Al Khalidiyah 12. Abduljabbar M. Al Khalidiyah
Substitutes
19. Hatate R. Celtic 14. Ito J. Reims 15. Kamada D. Crystal Palace . Machino S. Holstein Kiel 11. Maeda D. Celtic 13. Nakamura K. Reims 16. Nakayama Y. Machida Zelvia 12. Osako K. (G) Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2. Sugawara Y. Southampton 3. Takai K. Kawasaki Frontale 17. Tanaka A. Leeds 23. Tani K. (G) Machida Zelvia	26. Abdulkarim H. Al-Muharraq 11. Abdullatif I. Al Khalidiyah . Ahmed S. Al-Shabbab 18. Ali H. Al Riffa 9. Al Khattal A. Manama Club 13. Al Romaihi M. Al Khalidiyah 15. Al Shaikh J. Al Riffa 17. Al Wadaei S. 16. Baqer S. M. Al Khalidiyah 6. Emmanuel V. Sitra 14. Haram A. Al Riffa 19. Mubarak H. Al-Muharraq
Coaches
Moriyasu H.	Talajic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Benaddi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Morita H. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
61', Abduljabbar M. ↓, Al Romaihi M. ↑,
63', Doan R. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
63', Minamino T. ↓, Kamada D. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Kamada D. ⚽, Kubo T. (A),
76', Mitoma K. ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
82', Al Shamsan H. ↓, Emmanuel V. ↑,
85', Madan A. ↓, Mubarak H. ↑,
86', Ueda A. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Kubo T. ⚽, Ito J. (A),
88', Kubo T. 🟨,

Preview

In this match Japan is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Japan won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 2.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan
FIFA World Cup
19.11.24	China - Japan	1:3 ✺
15.11.24	Indonesia - Japan	0:4 ✺
15.10.24	Japan - Australia	1:1 ✺
10.10.24	Saudi Arabia - Japan	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Bahrain - Japan	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTWW
- Bahrain
Gulf Cup of Nations
04.01.25	Bahrain - Oman	2:1 ✺
31.12.24	Bahrain - Kuwait	1:0 ✺
28.12.24	Bahrain - Yemen	1:2 ✺
25.12.24	Bahrain - Iraq	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Saudi Arabia - Bahrain	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
10.09.24	Bahrain - Japan	0:5
Asian Cup
31.01.24	Bahrain - Japan	1:3
AFC Pre-Olympic Tournament
14.03.12	Japan - Bahrain	N/A

Japan - Bahrain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide