Match Info

ASIA: World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 8

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, Vidio
Japan	DAZN Japan, TVer
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Montenegro	SportKlub 1, SportKlub
Netherlands	ESPN 1
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Qatar	Al Kass Five, Shoof
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 2
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Sport 24 Extra
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Japan		Saudi Arabia

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	7	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7.5
	1.5	4	6.5
	1.48	3.97	7.2	Watch
				Watch
	1.53	4.05	6.6	Watch
	1.5	4	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.34)	4.07 ↓ (4.75)	6.88 ↓ (8.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Japan
63.2%

Draw
23.1%

Saudi Arabia
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

19.5%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Japan's form might have worsened.

Saudi Arabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	7.1%	3.6%

Japan - Saudi Arabia Predictions

Users Predictions: Japan will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Suzuki Z. (G) Parma 2. Sugawara Y. Southampton 4. Itakura K. B. Monchengladbach 21. Ito H. Bayern Munich 3. Takai K. Kawasaki Frontale 6. Endo W. (C) Liverpool 17. Tanaka A. Leeds 15. Kamada D. Crystal Palace 20. Kubo T. Real Sociedad 13. Nakamura K. Reims 11. Maeda D. Celtic	1. Al Aqidi N. (G) Al Fateh 2. Al Shanqiti M. Al Ittihad 17. Tambakti H. Al Hilal 4. Lajami A. Al Nassr 13. Boushal N. Al Nassr 8. Al Sahafi M. Beerschot VA 16. Al Ghamdi F. Beerschot VA 5. Thakri J. Al Qadisiya 10. Al Dawsari S. (C) Al Hilal 7. Al Juwayr M. Al Shabab 9. Al Buraikan F. Al Ahli SC
Substitutes
10. Doan R. Freiburg 7. Fujita J. St. Truiden 9. Furuhashi K. Rennes 19. Hatate R. Celtic 5. Hiroki S. Reims 14. Ito J. Reims 18. Machino S. Holstein Kiel 8. Minamino T. Monaco 16. Nakayama Y. Machida Zelvia 12. Osako K. (G) Sanfrecce Hiroshima 22. Seko A. Grasshoppers 23. Tani K. (G) Machida Zelvia	19. Al Ammar T. Al Qadisiya 6. Al Dawsari N. Al Hilal 14. Al Ghamdi A. Neom SC 11. Al Hamdan A. Al Hilal 23. Al Johani Z. Al Ahli SC 22. Al Kassar A. (G) Al Qadisiya 3. Al Mousa S. Al Ittihad 18. Al Saad M. Dunkerque 20. Al Salem A. Al Khaleej 12. Majrashi A. Al Ahli SC 15. Yahya A. Al Nassr 21. Yousef H. A. M. (G) Al Ittihad
Coaches
Moriyasu H.	Renard H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Al Shanqiti M. ↓, Majrashi A. ↑,
62', Al Sahafi M. ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
62', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,
62', Kubo T. ↓, Doan R. ↑,
62', Sugawara Y. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
73', Endo W. ↓, Hatate R. ↑,
73', Maeda D. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
83', Kamada D. ↓, Minamino T. ↑,
90+2', Al Buraikan F. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Japan won 3.

In this match Japan is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Japan won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan
FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Japan - Bahrain	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	China - Japan	1:3 ✺
15.11.24	Indonesia - Japan	0:4 ✺
15.10.24	Japan - Australia	1:1 ✺
10.10.24	Saudi Arabia - Japan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWTW
- Saudi Arabia
FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Saudi Arabia - China	1:0 ✺
Gulf Cup of Nations
31.12.24	Oman - Saudi Arabia	2:1 ✺
28.12.24	Iraq - Saudi Arabia	1:3 ✺
25.12.24	Saudi Arabia - Yemen	3:2 ✺
22.12.24	Saudi Arabia - Bahrain	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	Saudi Arabia - Japan	0:2
01.02.22	Japan - Saudi Arabia	2:0
07.10.21	Saudi Arabia - Japan	1:0
Asian Cup
21.01.19	Japan - Saudi Arabia	1:0
FIFA World Cup
05.09.17	Saudi Arabia - Japan	1:0
15.11.16	Japan - Saudi Arabia	2:1

Japan - Saudi Arabia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide