Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Jaraíz		Villafranca

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.75	5.15
	1.59	3.72	4.93
	1.46	4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)	3.82 ↑ (3.8)	5.43 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaraíz
59.6%

Draw
23.7%

Villafranca
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

24%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

23.3%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Villafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Jaraíz - Villafranca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Cruz L. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Gabriel Pedroso ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Castro F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 4 - 0, ⚽,
63', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Jaraíz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Villafranca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Jaraíz is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jaraíz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaraíz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Jaraíz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.10.25	Don Benito - Jaraíz	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Jaraíz - Santa Amalia	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Azuaga - Jaraíz	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Jaraíz - Gévora	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Calamonte - Jaraíz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTWT
- SP Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.10.25	Villafranca - Montehermoso	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Villanovense - Villafranca	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Llerenense - Villafranca	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Villafranca - Badajoz	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Pueblonuevo - Villafranca	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
04.05.25	Villafranca - Jaraíz	1:2
22.12.24	Jaraíz - Villafranca	4:1
21.01.24	Jaraíz - Villafranca	1:2
10.09.23	Villafranca - Jaraíz	5:0

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