Match Info

Date: 22 April 2021, Thursday


	Jaraguá		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.5	2.8	2.2
	3.5	3.2	1.95
	3.6	3.2	1.93
	3.87	3.32	2.01
	3.7	3	2
	3.6	3.13	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↓ (4.38)	3.11 ↓ (3.2)	2.02 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaraguá
25.3%

Draw
29.4%

Vila Nova
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

28.2%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

19.6%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vila Nova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraguá than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vila Nova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jaraguá - Vila Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Jaraguá is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vila Nova is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jaraguá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vila Nova have a series of home games.

Vila Nova will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Jaraguá won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Jaraguá won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Jaraguá
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
19.04.21	Iporá - Jaraguá	2:1 ✺
10.04.21	Aparecidense - Jaraguá	1:0 ✺
07.04.21	Jaraguá - Goianésia	1:2 ✺
04.04.21	Jaraguá - Goiás	1:2 ✺
31.03.21	Goiás - Jaraguá	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLLLW
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
18.04.21	Vila Nova - Aparecidense	2:1 ✺
14.04.21	Iporá - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Vila Nova - Goiás	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
08.04.21	Vila Nova - Juventude	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
04.04.21	Vila Nova - Goianésia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
28.02.21	Vila Nova - Jaraguá	1:0
11.02.21	Jaraguá - Vila Nova	1:0
07.03.20	Jaraguá - Vila Nova	1:0
25.01.20	Vila Nova - Jaraguá	0:1

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