Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 1

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Jeonju World Cup Stadium (Jeonju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors		Kitchee

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.25	6	10	Watch
	1.27	6.22	9.47
	1.24	5.25	9.5
	1.25	6.15	10.5	Watch
	1.25	5.8	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.74)	5.88 ↑ (3.9)	9.69 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
74.5%

Draw
15.9%

Kitchee
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

25.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors's performance.

Kitchee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kitchee might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchee than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kitchee could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Kitchee Predictions

Users Predictions: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 94. Ahn Hyun-Beom 26. Hong Jeong-Ho (C) 15. Ku Ja-Ryong 23. Kim Jin-Su 7. Han Kyo-Won 57. Boateng N. 29. Ryu Jae-Moon 27. Moon Seon-Min 21. Amano J. 9. Gustavo	86. Paulo Cesar (G) 2. Law Tsz-Chun (C) 26. Russell A. 15. Beto 77. Azevedo Pedreira F. A. 18. Gerbig O. 95. Chan Shinichi 10. Cleiton 12. Onazi O. 17. Mikael 89. Jantscher J.
Substitutes
97. Andre Luis 25. Choi Chul-Soon 51. Gong S. (G) 3. Jeong Tae-Wook 32. Jeong Woo-Jae 44. Lee Joon-Ho 16. Lee Soo-Bin 28. Maeng Seong-Ung 30. Oh Jae-Hyeok 70. Park Chang-Woo 2. Petrasek T. 5. Yun Young-Sun	28. Cheng C. 19. Huang Yang 5. Jose de Souza Goncalves H. 90. Juninho 74. Kam C. J. 11. Kuerban Y. 96. Slattery M. 16. Tan C. 1. Wang Z. (G) 32. Yuen C. H.
Coaches
Petrescu D.	Chu C.

Preview

Jeonbuk Motors is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kitchee is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Jeonbuk Motors is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Jeonbuk Motors won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Jeonbuk Motors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
South Korean K-League 1
16.09.23	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gangwon	1:3 ✺
03.09.23	Jeju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:0 ✺
25.08.23	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Daejeon Citizen	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Ulsan HD - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Suwon Bluewings	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTLT
- Kitchee FC
Hong Kong Premier League
16.09.23	Lee Man - Kitchee	4:1 ✺
27.08.23	Kitchee - Hong Kong FC	8:0 ✺
19.08.23	Kitchee - Wofoo Tai Po	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.23	Trat - Kitchee	1:1 ✺
02.08.23	Uthai Thani - Kitchee	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
18.04.18	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Kitchee	3:0
20.02.18	Kitchee - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:6

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