The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kitchee 53.5%
Draw 23.1%
Wofoo Tai Po 23.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
27.2%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
25.3%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kitchee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kitchee's performance.
Wofoo Tai Po has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitchee than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wofoo Tai Po than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Kitchee - Wofoo Tai Po Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Pong C. (G) 22. Beattie C. 6. Haddow J. 5. Illarramendi A. 30. Juninho 11. Kanda Y. 20. Martinez Ortiz L. 4. Matheus Dantas 9. Revilla A. 3. Riera R. 16. Tan Chun-Lok (C)
94. Tse Ka-Wing (G) 15. Dujardin R. 10. Fernando 12. Gerson 26. Lee Ka-Ho 14. Marcao 7. Michel Renner 24. Ngan Cheuk-Pan 9. Paulinho Simionato 18. Sartori I. (C) 44. Weverton Rangel
Substitutes
37. Chan Shing-Chun 8. Cheng Chin-Lung 34. Kam Chi-Kin. J. 27. Lam Lok-Kan J. 7. Mingazov R. 1. Wang Z. (G) 12. Wong Ho-Chun Anson
16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. 80. Chung Wai-Keung 22. Korani K. 17. Kwok Chun-Nok 6. Law Chun-Ting 23. Lee Lok-Him 1. Lo S. (G) 20. Patrick Valverde 3. Sung K. 34. Wong Hin-Sum 2. Yeung H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Kanda Y. ⚽,
24', Weverton Rangel 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Juninho ⚽,
30', Weverton Rangel ↓, Patrick Valverde ↑,
42', 3 - 0, Kanda Y. ⚽,
45+1', 4 - 0, Revilla A. ⚽,
45:00, Paulinho Simionato 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', Riera R. 🟨,
67', 4 - 1, Paulinho Simionato ⚽,
70', Gerson 🟨,
74', Haddow J. ↓, Kam Chi-Kin. J. ↑,
74', Revilla A. ↓, Mingazov R. ↑,
74', Juninho ↓, Cheng Chin-Lung ↑,
74', Tan Chun-Lok ↓, Wong Ho-Chun Anson ↑,
76', Fernando ↓, Sung K. ↑,
76', Paulinho Simionato ↓, Lee Lok-Him ↑,
82', Beattie C. ↓, Lam Lok-Kan J. ↑,
85', Sartori I. ↓, Chung Wai-Keung ↑,
85', Dujardin R. ↓, Law Chun-Ting ↑,
87', 4 - 2, Michel Renner ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitchee won 1.
Kitchee has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Tai Po has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Tai Po may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Kitchee has had a series of away games.
Kitchee is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kitchee won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Kitchee won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 2.1:1.7).
Hong-kong
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Pong C. (G) 
Illarramendi A. 
Kanda Y. 
Matheus Dantas 
Mingazov R. 
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