Match Info

K League 1 - Round 11

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Jeju World Cup Stadium (Seogwipo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-korea	Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports
World	K League TV


	Jeju		Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	2.05	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.82
	3.7	3.15	1.98
	4.07	3.3	2.12
	3.9	3.36	1.96	Watch
	3.8	3	2	Watch
	3.84	3.2	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (4.2)	3.26 ↓ (3.54)	1.99 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeju
24.1%

Draw
28.8%

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

26.4%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

26.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

Jeju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jeonbuk Motors will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jeonbuk Motors: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 17. Yu In-Soo 41. Kim Jae-Woo 3. Celestine J. 40. Kim Ryun-sung 22. Kwon Chang-Hoon 14. Oh Jae-Hyeok 20. Jang M. 7. Park Chang-Jun 94. Emerson Negueba 10. Nam Tae-Hee (C)	31. Song Bum-Keun (C) 24. Lee Sang-myung 4. Cho Wi-Je 2. Kim Young-Bin 66. Choi Woo-Jin 8. Oberdan 97. Kim Jin-gyu 7. Lee Dong-Jun 13. Kang Sang-Yoon 10. Lee Seung-Woo 99. Bruno Mota
Substitutes
21. An Chan-Gi (G) 24. Choi Byung-wook 2. Figueiredo T. 13. Jeong Woon 28. Kim Geon-Ung 27. Kim Jun-ha 6. Kwon Gi-min 9. Paulauskas G. 23. Rim Chang-Woo	16. Gamboa J. 15. Kim Ha-jun 11. Kim Seung-Sub 77. Kim Tae-Hyeon 1. Lee Ju-hyeon (G) 28. Lee Yeong-Jae 6. Maeng Seong-Ung 9. Tiago Orobo 3. Yeon Je-Woon
Coaches
Costa S.	Chung Jung-Yong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Kim Jin-gyu ⚽, Lee Dong-Jun (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Lee Sang-myung 🟨,
56', Celestine J. 🟨,
59', Lee Sang-myung ↓, Kim Tae-Hyeon ↑,
59', Lee Dong-Jun ↓, Kim Seung-Sub ↑,
61', Park Chang-Jun ↓, Paulauskas G. ↑,
69', Lee Seung-Woo ↓, Kim Ha-jun ↑,
69', Choi Woo-Jin ↓, Gamboa J. ↑,
78', Oh Jae-Hyeok ↓, Kim Jun-ha ↑,
78', Kwon Chang-Hoon ↓, Choi Byung-wook ↑,
83', Celestine J. ↓, Figueiredo T. ↑,
83', Yu In-Soo ↓, Rim Chang-Woo ↑,
90+2', Bruno Mota ↓, Tiago Orobo ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Tiago Orobo ⚽, Kang Sang-Yoon (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 1.

Jeju is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jeonbuk Motors has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Jeonbuk Motors is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeju won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36:31	5	46
5	Jeonbuk	31	11	11	9	39:30	9	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
25.04.26	Incheon United - Jeju	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Daejeon Citizen - Jeju	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Jeju - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Pohang Steelers - Jeju	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Jeju - Bucheon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LWTWW
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
South Korean K-League 1
26.04.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Pohang Steelers	3:2 ✺
21.04.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Incheon United	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Gangwon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	FC Seoul - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Ulsan HD	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
03.10.25	Jeju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1
23.05.25	Jeju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:0
13.04.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Jeju	1:1
27.10.24	Jeju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:0
28.09.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Jeju	2:1
10.07.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Jeju	2:1
03.04.24	Jeju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	2:0

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