Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Jeonju World Cup Stadium (Jeonju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, TOD
Australia	10 Play
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 2
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Saudi-arabia	SSC Sports 1
Serbia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-korea	Tving
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic


	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors		Sydney

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.6
	1.85	4.34	3.68
	1.87	3.86	3.69	Watch
	1.94	3.54	3.69	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.41)	3.89 ↓ (4.2)	3.84 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
51.5%

Draw
24.1%

Sydney
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.6%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

21%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors's form might have worsened.

Sydney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sydney's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Sydney Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Jeonbuk Motors will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Sydney will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jeonbuk Motors: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Song Bum-Keun (G) 39. Kim Tae-Hwan 2. Kim Young-Bin 4. Park Jin-Seob (C) 66. Kim Tae-Hyeon 18. Jeon Jin-Woo 77. Kwon Chang-Hoon 8. Lee Yeong-Jae 91. Han Kook-Young 10. Song Min-Kyu 96. Compagno A.	12. Devenish-Meares H. (G) 16. King J. 23. Grant R. (C) 5. Grant A. 4. Courtney-Perkins J. 10. Lolley J. 24. Kamijo W. 15. Leo Sena 17. Caceres A. 11. Douglas Costa 9. Klimala P.
Substitutes
17. Ahn Hyun-Beom 19. Boateng N. 25. Choi Chul-Soon 3. Choi Woo-Jin 33. Jeon Byung-Kwan 13. Kang Sang-Yoon 44. Kim Ha-jun 1. Kim Jeong-Hoon (G) 97. Kim Jin-gyu 11. Lee Seung-Woo 16. Park Jae-Yong 94. Yeon Je-Woon	21. De Jesus Z. 6. Hollman C. 37. Kennedy W. 25. Kucharski J. 8. Ouahim A. 20. Quintal T. 1. Redmayne A. (G) 7. Segecic A. 38. Sotirio J.
Coaches
Poyet G.	Talay U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Klimala P. ⚽, Caceres A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kim Young-Bin ↓, Yeon Je-Woon ↑,
58', Han Kook-Young ↓, Boateng N. ↑,
58', Kwon Chang-Hoon ↓, Lee Seung-Woo ↑,
58', Song Min-Kyu ↓, Jeon Byung-Kwan ↑,
64', Douglas Costa ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
64', Kamijo W. ↓, Hollman C. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Klimala P. ⚽, Leo Sena (A),
77', Lee Yeong-Jae ↓, Kim Jin-gyu ↑,
84', Klimala P. 🟨,
90+2', Klimala P. ↓, Kucharski J. ↑,
90+4', Lolley J. ↓, Kennedy W. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Sydney could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Jeonbuk Motors is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Jeonbuk Motors won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Jeonbuk Motors won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
South Korean K-League 1
01.03.25	Ulsan HD - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
20.02.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Thai Port	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
16.02.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
13.02.25	Thai Port - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWWW
- Sydney FC
Australian A-League
01.03.25	Macarthur FC - Sydney	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Perth Glory - Sydney	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
19.02.25	Bangkok United - Sydney	2:3 ET ✺
12.02.25	Sydney - Bangkok United	2:2 ✺
Australian A-League
08.02.25	Sydney - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
28.04.22	Sydney - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	2:3
16.04.22	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Sydney	0:0
25.11.20	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Sydney	1:0
04.03.20	Sydney - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	2:2

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