What is the expert prediction for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors vs Gwangju?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors vs Gwangju. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

How to watch Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors vs Gwangju live?

Check our broadcast section for official streaming options and live coverage details.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors vs Gwangju Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, May 05, 2026)

Match Info

K League 1 - Round 12

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Jeonju World Cup Stadium (Jeonju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-korea	Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports
World	K League TV


	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors		Gwangju

	1	X	2
	1.22	5	13	Watch
	1.39	4.5	7.75
	1.25	5.15	11
	1.29	5.56	13.4
	1.25	5.37	12.37	Watch
	1.25	5	12	Watch
	1.26	5.3	11.7	Watch
	1.38	3.9	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)	4.97 ↑ (3.9)	10.95 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
72.7%

Draw
18.8%

Gwangju
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

22.5%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

20.6%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors's performance.

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gwangju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

banner

Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Jeonbuk Motors will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Gwangju will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Song Bum-Keun (C) 77. Kim Tae-Hyeon 4. Cho Wi-Je 2. Kim Young-Bin 15. Kim Ha-jun 8. Oberdan 97. Kim Jin-gyu 7. Lee Dong-Jun 13. Kang Sang-Yoon 11. Kim Seung-Sub 99. Bruno Mota	21. Roh Hee-Dong (G) 3. Lee Min-Ki 39. Min Sang-Gi (C) 26. Gong B. 27. Kim Jin-Ho 13. Park Jeong-In 88. Moon Min-seo 24. Kim Y. 16. Joung Ji-hun 19. Ahn Hyeok-Ju 11. Fridjonsson H.
Substitutes
66. Choi Woo-Jin 16. Gamboa J. 1. Lee Ju-hyeon (G) 24. Lee Sang-myung 10. Lee Seung-Woo 28. Lee Yeong-Jae 6. Maeng Seong-Ung 9. Tiago Orobo 3. Yeon Je-Woon	6. Ahn Young-Kyu 9. Ha Seung-Un 79. Jung Gyu-Min 8. Ju Se-Jong 42. Kang Hui-Su 23. Kim Dong-Hwa (G) 25. Kim Yun-ho 22. Kwon Sung-Yun 28. Seong Hyun P.
Coaches
Chung Jung-Yong	Lee J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Park Jeong-In 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Oberdan ⚽,
45+2', Kim Jin-Ho 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Lee Min-Ki ↓, Ha Seung-Un ↑,
46', Park Jeong-In ↓, Kwon Sung-Yun ↑,
46', Kim Y. ↓, Ju Se-Jong ↑,
46', Lee Dong-Jun ↓, Lee Seung-Woo ↑,
46', Bruno Mota ↓, Tiago Orobo ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Kim Seung-Sub ⚽, Oberdan (A),
64', Joung Ji-hun ↓, Seong Hyun P. ↑,
68', Kim Jin-gyu ↓, Lee Yeong-Jae ↑,
74', Moon Min-seo ↓, Kang Hui-Su ↑,
77', Kang Sang-Yoon ↓, Maeng Seong-Ung ↑,
81', Kim Tae-Hyeon ↓, Lee Sang-myung ↑,
83', Fridjonsson H. 🟨,
85', Lee Sang-myung 🟨,
87', 3 - 0, Tiago Orobo ⚽, Lee Yeong-Jae (A),
90+5', Kwon Sung-Yun 🟨,
90+7', 4 - 0, Lee Seung-Woo (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeonbuk Motors won 3.

In recent matches, Jeonbuk Motors has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gwangju is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Jeonbuk Motors is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeonbuk Motors won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:14. (average 1.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeonbuk Motors won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 2.2:0.6).

banner

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Jeonbuk	23	9	7	7	30:22	8	34
12	Gwangju FC	23	1	8	14	12:49	-37	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
South Korean K-League 1
02.05.26	Jeju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Pohang Steelers	3:2 ✺
21.04.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Incheon United	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Gangwon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	FC Seoul - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLTL
- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
02.05.26	Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen	0:5 ✺
26.04.26	Gwangju - Anyang	2:5 ✺
22.04.26	Pohang Steelers - Gwangju	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ulsan HD - Gwangju	5:1 ✺
11.04.26	Gwangju - Bucheon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
14.03.26	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:0
South Korean Cup
05.12.25	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:2 ET
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.25	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:2
11.05.25	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:1
23.02.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gwangju	2:2
24.11.24	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1
09.08.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gwangju	0:1

Upcoming Matches