Match Info

K League 1 - Round 15

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Jeonju World Cup Stadium (Jeonju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
South-korea	Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports
Switzerland	LAOLA1
World	K League TV


	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors		Gimcheon Sangmu

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.55	4.35
	1.81	3.77	4.87
	1.76	3.6	4.61	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.4
	1.75	3.65	4.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.71)	3.58 ↓ (3.61)	4.54 ↓ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
53.4%

Draw
26.1%

Gimcheon Sangmu
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

25.8%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

25.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gimcheon Sangmu Predictions

Users Predictions: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Song Bum-Keun (C) 77. Kim Tae-Hyeon 2. Kim Young-Bin 15. Kim Ha-jun 66. Choi Woo-Jin 8. Oberdan 97. Kim Jin-gyu 7. Lee Dong-Jun 13. Kang Sang-Yoon 10. Lee Seung-Woo 99. Bruno Mota	1. Baek Jong-beom (G) 11. Kim Tae-Hwan 45. Byeon Jun-Soo 26. Lee Jung-Taek (C) 3. Park Cheol-Woo 7. Go Jae-Hyeon 15. Lim Dug-Keun 55. Park T. 17. Kim Joo-Chan 14. Park Se-Jin 9. Lee G.
Substitutes
16. Gamboa J. 44. Kim Ju-hyeong 11. Kim Seung-Sub 1. Lee Ju-hyeon (G) 24. Lee Sang-myung 28. Lee Yeong-Jae 6. Maeng Seong-Ung 9. Tiago Orobo 3. Yeon Je-Woon	42. Hong Si-Hoo 10. Jeon Byung-Kwan 57. Jung Jae-Min 21. Kim In-Gyun 20. Lee Chan-Wook 56. Lee K. 6. Lee Soo-Bin 37. Moon Hyeon-Ho (G) 53. Roh Kyung-Ho
Coaches
Chung Jung-Yong	Joo S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Lim Dug-Keun ↓, Lee K. ↑,
62', Go Jae-Hyeon ↓, Jeon Byung-Kwan ↑,
66', Oberdan ↓, Gamboa J. ↑,
66', Lee Seung-Woo ↓, Kim Seung-Sub ↑,
67', Lee K. 🟨,
73', Kim Joo-Chan ↓, Kim In-Gyun ↑,
73', Park Se-Jin ↓, Roh Kyung-Ho ↑,
79', Lee Dong-Jun ↓, Tiago Orobo ↑,
81', Park T. ↓, Lee Chan-Wook ↑,
85', Kim Young-Bin 🟨,
87', Kim Jin-gyu ↓, Lee Yeong-Jae ↑,
87', Choi Woo-Jin ↓, Yeon Je-Woon ↑,
90+4', Baek Jong-beom 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 0, Tiago Orobo ⚽, Kim Young-Bin (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeonbuk Motors won 2.

Jeonbuk Motors is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gimcheon Sangmu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jeonbuk Motors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jeonbuk Motors is considered a favorite.

We predict that Jeonbuk Motors will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeonbuk Motors won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeonbuk Motors won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Jeonbuk	31	11	11	9	39:30	9	44
10	Gimcheon Sangmu ✔	31	5	18	8	30:37	-7	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
South Korean K-League 1
13.05.26	Bucheon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Anyang - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
05.05.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gwangju	4:0 ✺
02.05.26	Jeju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Pohang Steelers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWWW
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 1
13.05.26	Anyang - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Incheon United	0:3 ✺
05.05.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Bucheon - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
08.03.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1
25.10.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:3
20.09.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:2
27.06.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:2
16.02.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1
14.07.24	Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	4:0
25.05.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:0

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