Match Info

K League 2 - Round 12

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Gwangyang Football Stadium (Gwangyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Jeonnam Dragons		Cheongju

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.18	3.2	3.1
	2.22	3.58	3.14
	2.14	3.65	3.06	Watch
	2.15	3	3
	2.12	3.3	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.21)	3.31 ↓ (3.49)	3.08 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeonnam Dragons
42.5%

Draw
27.8%

Cheongju
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

26.7%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

26%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeonnam Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Cheongju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeonnam Dragons than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheongju than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Jeonnam Dragons - Cheongju Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jeonnam Dragons will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Cheongju will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jeonnam Dragons: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jeonnam Dragons (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Choi Bong-Jin (G) 99. Jeong Kang-min 2. Yoo Ji-Ha 23. Kim Gyeong-Jae (C) 3. Kim J. 17. Kim Beom-Su 77. Hong Won-Jin 8. Park Tae-Yong 11. Jeong Ji-Yong 9. Ha Nam 10. Valdivia	21. Cho Sung-Hoon (G) 25. Bandeira 18. Jo Ju-yeong 4. Jo Yun-Seong 8. Bak Keon-Woo 5. Kim Seon-Min (C) 42. Jeong Jin-Woo 16. Heo Seung-Chan 14. Seo Jae-Won 11. Garcia M. 13. Lee J.
Substitutes
7. Choi Han-Sol 22. Hong Seok-Hyun 96. Kim Kyeong-Jun 4. Ku Hyun-Jun 88. Lee Jun-Hee (G) 44. Noh Dong-Geon 75. Ryu Kwang-hyun 14. Yoon Min-ho 28. Yoon Young-seok	7. Bughridze I. 23. Cho Seong-Been (G) 77. Hong Seok-jun 47. Ju Na-moo 99. Lee Chang-Hun 66. Lee Gang-Han 19. Song Chang-Seok 10. Welch F. 20. Yun Suk-Young
Coaches
Lim K.	Quinta Rui

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Kim Beom-Su 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Lee J. ⚽, Bandeira (A),
23', Jeong Kang-min ↓, Ku Hyun-Jun ↑,
45+4', Yoo Ji-Ha 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lee J. ↓, Hong Seok-jun ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Garcia M. ⚽, Seo Jae-Won (A),
59', 1 - 2, Ha Nam ⚽, Valdivia (A),
64', 2 - 2, Ha Nam ⚽, Valdivia (A),
65', Park Tae-Yong ↓, Kim Kyeong-Jun ↑,
65', Kim Beom-Su ↓, Yoon Young-seok ↑,
68', Bandeira 🟨,
75', Jeong Jin-Woo ↓, Welch F. ↑,
78', 🟨,
79', Kim Gyeong-Jae 🟨,
84', Seo Jae-Won ↓, Bughridze I. ↑,
86', Hong Won-Jin ↓, Choi Han-Sol ↑,
86', Kim Gyeong-Jae ↓, Noh Dong-Geon ↑,
90+4', Garcia M. ↓, Song Chang-Seok ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeonnam Dragons won 3.

Jeonnam Dragons has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cheongju has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cheongju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jeonnam Dragons has had a series of away games.

Jeonnam Dragons will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Jeonnam Dragons won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 2.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeonnam Dragons won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:2. (average 2.8:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cheongju	26	5	14	7	31:41	-10	29
16	Jeonnam	25	4	9	12	28:43	-15	21

Last Results with these Odds

Jeonnam Dragons - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.24%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Cheongju - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 31.01%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeonnam Dragons
South Korean K-League 2
10.05.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Jeonnam Dragons	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Ansan Greeners - Jeonnam Dragons	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Chungnam Asan - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Hwaseong - Jeonnam Dragons	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Yongin - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTLT
- Cheongju FC
South Korean K-League 2
09.05.26	Cheongju - Gimpo	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Paju Frontier - Cheongju	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Cheongju - Chungnam Asan	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Cheongju - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Cheonan City - Cheongju	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
19.10.25	Cheongju - Jeonnam Dragons	0:3
29.06.25	Cheongju - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2
18.05.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Cheongju	4:1
03.11.24	Jeonnam Dragons - Cheongju	3:0
21.05.24	Jeonnam Dragons - Cheongju	1:1
02.03.24	Cheongju - Jeonnam Dragons	1:0
29.10.23	Jeonnam Dragons - Cheongju	3:0

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