Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Jerez		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.25	1.72
	4.65	3.43	1.65
	4.73	3.52	1.69
	4.8	3.2	1.7
	4.89	3.44	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (4.36)	3.37 ↑ (3.32)	1.68 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerez
19.2%

Draw
26.9%

Don Benito
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

27.3%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

27%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Jerez - Don Benito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent form of Jerez has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Don Benito is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jerez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Don Benito has had a series of home games.

In this match, Don Benito is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jerez won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Jerez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Jerez CF	4	1	1	2	4:6	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.04.26	Cabeza del Buey - Jerez	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Jerez - Santa Amalia	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Llerenense - Jerez	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Jerez - Azuaga	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Badajoz - Jerez	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTTLL
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.04.26	Don Benito - Santa Amalia	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Don Benito - Azuaga	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Don Benito - Gévora	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Calamonte - Don Benito	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Don Benito - Puebla de la Calzada	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.12.25	Don Benito - Jerez	1:1
21.01.24	Jerez - Don Benito	0:3
10.09.23	Don Benito - Jerez	1:1

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