The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Badajoz 62.7%
Draw 24.1%
Jerez 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.4%
22.3%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67%
21.4%
12.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Badajoz - Jerez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, ⚽,
19', 1 - 2, ⚽,
35', 2 - 2, ⚽,
39', 2 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 3 - 3, ⚽,
66', 3 - 4, ⚽,
78', 4 - 4, ⚽,
90+5', 5 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 8).
Badajoz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Jerez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Badajoz has had a series of home games.
In this match, Badajoz is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Badajoz will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Badajoz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Badajoz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
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