Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 29Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday
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Jerez |
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Santa Amalia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.65 |
3.45 |
4.65 |
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 |
1.53 |
3.74 |
5.81 |
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 |
7.95 |
5.54 |
1.29 |
 Watch |
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1.6 |
3.4 |
5.5 |
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1.53 |
3.62 |
5.84 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(1.67) |
3.95 ↑
(3.5) |
4.62 ↑
(4.44) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jerez
42.7% | Draw
30.9% | Santa Amalia
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jerez's form might have worsened.Santa Amalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Amalia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jerez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Amalia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Jerez - Santa Amalia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Juanjo ⚽,
- 15', 0 - 2, Daniel C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 64', 1 - 2, Chavez Chema ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 2, Chavez Chema ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).The current form of both teams is below expectations. In this match, Jerez is considered a favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jerez won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Jerez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Santa Amalia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
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| 12 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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