Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 11

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday


	Shimshon Tel Aviv		Hapoel Marmorek

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.35
	1.72	3.83	3.78
	1.57	4.13	4.68	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4.38
	1.76	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.41)	3.81 ↓ (4.33)	4.2 ↓ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimshon Tel Aviv
54.6%

Draw
23.8%

Hapoel Marmorek
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

19.7%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimshon Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shimshon Tel Aviv's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Marmorek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Marmorek's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimshon Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimshon Tel Aviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Marmorek than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Marmorek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Marmorek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Yanai D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, Yanai D. (Penalty Awarded),
69', 1 - 2, Khoury M. ⚽,
74', 2 - 2, Shafiki E. ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, Kupferberg A. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimshon Tel Aviv won 1.

Recent performances by Shimshon Tel Aviv have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hapoel Marmorek has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Shimshon Tel Aviv is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Shimshon Tel Aviv won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Shimshon Tel Aviv won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimshon Tel Aviv
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.12.25	Hapoel Azor - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
27.11.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Jerusalem FC	1:0 ✺
07.11.25	Tzeirei Tira - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Shimshon Tel Aviv	2:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Kafr Qasim	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLL
- Hapoel Marmorek
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.12.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Dimona - Hapoel Marmorek	3:0 ✺
07.11.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Nordia Jerusalem	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Marmorek	5:0 ✺
17.10.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Herzliya	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
30.01.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Marmorek	1:1
27.09.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:0
03.05.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:0
10.02.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Marmorek	0:0
26.01.23	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Marmorek	1:0
23.09.22	Hapoel Marmorek - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0
Club Friendly
29.07.22	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Marmorek	1:5

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