Match Info

Date: 7 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Haugesund Stadion (Haugesund)

Referee: Moen C. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	Discovery+


	Haugesund		Jerv

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7	Watch
	1.38	5	7
	1.4	5.1	7
	1.38	4.8	6.8
	1.43	5.12	7.14
	1.38	4.4	7
	1.39	5	7.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.62)	4.92 ↑ (3.86)	7.01 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haugesund
67.5%

Draw
19.1%

Jerv
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.1%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

23.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haugesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haugesund's performance.

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haugesund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	9.5%	14.3%

Haugesund - Jerv Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Haugesund will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Jerv will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Haugesund: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Eliteserien (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

Haugesund has the most likely position - 14 (15.33%), has project points - 34, has currently - 16, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Jerv has the most likely position - 16 (45.81%), has project points - 20, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (93%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 19, small importance 30, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Haugesund is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jerv has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Haugesund is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Haugesund: Christensen M. (Injury)

There will not play in Jerv: Brenden N. E. (Injury) Ness T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Haugesund: Liseth S. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Haugesund won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Haugesund
Norwegian Eliteserien
24.07.22	Haugesund - Sarpsborg 08	3:1 ✺
17.07.22	Molde - Haugesund	1:0 ✺
10.07.22	Haugesund - Hamarkameratene	1:1 ✺
02.07.22	Jerv - Haugesund	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
29.06.22	Sotra - Haugesund	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTLW
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Eliteserien
30.07.22	Jerv - Vålerenga	2:5 ✺
23.07.22	Bodø Glimt - Jerv	5:0 ✺
16.07.22	Jerv - Sandefjord	1:2 ✺
10.07.22	Rosenborg - Jerv	3:2 ✺
06.07.22	Molde - Jerv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
02.07.22	Jerv - Haugesund	1:0

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