The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jerv 26.4%
Draw 27%
Hamarkameratene 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
27.9%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
27.3%
39.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jerv's form might have worsened.
Hamarkameratene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamarkameratene's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jerv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamarkameratene than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamarkameratene, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.9%
40%
49.1%
Jerv - Hamarkameratene Predictions
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. Jerv will win (votes: 6 - 10.9%). HamKam will win (votes: 27 - 49.1%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for HamKam: 35.9% โ 62.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 12).
Jerv has the most likely position - 16 (45.82%), has project points - 22, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (79%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Ham Kam has the most likely position - 13 (14.69%), has project points - 32, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (23%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality17, importance44, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Jerv won 3.
Jerv is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Ham Kam is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ham Kam will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Jerv: Fernandes L.
(Injury)
Mafi I.
(Injury)
There will not play in Ham Kam: Bjorlo M.
(Injury)
Dunn-Johnson J.
(Injury)
Sjolstad F.
(Red Card)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Jerv won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Jerv won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.